Matt Little's commanding 68% implied probability in the MN-02 Democratic primary stems from his securing the DFL party endorsement last weekend at the district convention, where he captured 63% of delegate votes on the first ballot over state Sen. Matt Klein and state Rep. Kaela Berg. This open-seat race, vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's U.S. Senate bid, positions the endorsement as a pivotal advantage in Minnesota's DFL primaries, where backed candidates historically dominate due to party resources and voter turnout mobilization. Klein's odds reflect lingering fallout from his April suspension by a prediction market for self-betting, while Berg trails amid weaker delegate support; the August 11 primary remains months away, with fundraising and local endorsements as key watchpoints.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMatt Little 68%
Matt Klein 24%
Kaela Berg 6.5%
$31,555 Vol.
$31,555 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Matt Little
68%
Matt Klein
24%
Kaela Berg
7%
Matt Little 68%
Matt Klein 24%
Kaela Berg 6.5%
$31,555 Vol.
$31,555 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Matt Little
$21,245 Vol.
68%
Matt Klein
$7,690 Vol.
24%
Kaela Berg
$2,620 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Matt Little's commanding 68% implied probability in the MN-02 Democratic primary stems from his securing the DFL party endorsement last weekend at the district convention, where he captured 63% of delegate votes on the first ballot over state Sen. Matt Klein and state Rep. Kaela Berg. This open-seat race, vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's U.S. Senate bid, positions the endorsement as a pivotal advantage in Minnesota's DFL primaries, where backed candidates historically dominate due to party resources and voter turnout mobilization. Klein's odds reflect lingering fallout from his April suspension by a prediction market for self-betting, while Berg trails amid weaker delegate support; the August 11 primary remains months away, with fundraising and local endorsements as key watchpoints.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Volume
$31,555Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Matt Little's commanding 68% implied probability in the MN-02 Democratic primary stems from his securing the DFL party endorsement last weekend at the district convention, where he captured 63% of delegate votes on the first ballot over state Sen. Matt Klein and state Rep. Kaela Berg. This open-seat race, vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's U.S. Senate bid, positions the endorsement as a pivotal advantage in Minnesota's DFL primaries, where backed candidates historically dominate due to party resources and voter turnout mobilization. Klein's odds reflect lingering fallout from his April suspension by a prediction market for self-betting, while Berg trails amid weaker delegate support; the August 11 primary remains months away, with fundraising and local endorsements as key watchpoints.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$31,555Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Matt Little's commanding 68% implied probability in the MN-02 Democratic primary stems from his securing the DFL party endorsement last weekend at the district convention, where he captured 63% of delegate votes on the first ballot over state Sen. Matt Klein and state Rep. Kaela Berg. This open-seat race, vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's U.S. Senate bid, positions the endorsement as a pivotal advantage in Minnesota's DFL primaries, where backed candidates historically dominate due to party resources and voter turnout mobilization. Klein's odds reflect lingering fallout from his April suspension by a prediction market for self-betting, while Berg trails amid weaker delegate support; the August 11 primary remains months away, with fundraising and local endorsements as key watchpoints.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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