Internal political divisions within the Kurdistan Regional Government have intensified since the 2024 parliamentary elections, leaving no new cabinet formed after more than 18 months and shifting focus to domestic stabilization amid ongoing disputes over oil revenue sharing with Baghdad. KRG leaders, including Prime Minister Masrour Barzani, have repeatedly affirmed commitment to Iraq’s federal structure and constitutional rights rather than unilateral secession, consistent with the absence of any official independence announcements or parliamentary votes. Regional pressures, including recent Iranian strikes on Kurdish facilities and the lack of international backing seen after the 2017 referendum, further constrain options. Traders price this outcome as highly unlikely absent a sudden reversal in inter-party negotiations or external diplomatic shifts before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl KRG dichiara l'indipendenza dall'Iraq entro il 31 dicembre?
Il KRG dichiara l'indipendenza dall'Iraq entro il 31 dicembre?
Sì
$52,812 Vol.
$52,812 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$52,812 Vol.
$52,812 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal political divisions within the Kurdistan Regional Government have intensified since the 2024 parliamentary elections, leaving no new cabinet formed after more than 18 months and shifting focus to domestic stabilization amid ongoing disputes over oil revenue sharing with Baghdad. KRG leaders, including Prime Minister Masrour Barzani, have repeatedly affirmed commitment to Iraq’s federal structure and constitutional rights rather than unilateral secession, consistent with the absence of any official independence announcements or parliamentary votes. Regional pressures, including recent Iranian strikes on Kurdish facilities and the lack of international backing seen after the 2017 referendum, further constrain options. Traders price this outcome as highly unlikely absent a sudden reversal in inter-party negotiations or external diplomatic shifts before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$52,812Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal political divisions within the Kurdistan Regional Government have intensified since the 2024 parliamentary elections, leaving no new cabinet formed after more than 18 months and shifting focus to domestic stabilization amid ongoing disputes over oil revenue sharing with Baghdad. KRG leaders, including Prime Minister Masrour Barzani, have repeatedly affirmed commitment to Iraq’s federal structure and constitutional rights rather than unilateral secession, consistent with the absence of any official independence announcements or parliamentary votes. Regional pressures, including recent Iranian strikes on Kurdish facilities and the lack of international backing seen after the 2017 referendum, further constrain options. Traders price this outcome as highly unlikely absent a sudden reversal in inter-party negotiations or external diplomatic shifts before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$52,812Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Internal political divisions within the Kurdistan Regional Government have intensified since the 2024 parliamentary elections, leaving no new cabinet formed after more than 18 months and shifting focus to domestic stabilization amid ongoing disputes over oil revenue sharing with Baghdad. KRG leaders, including Prime Minister Masrour Barzani, have repeatedly affirmed commitment to Iraq’s federal structure and constitutional rights rather than unilateral secession, consistent with the absence of any official independence announcements or parliamentary votes. Regional pressures, including recent Iranian strikes on Kurdish facilities and the lack of international backing seen after the 2017 referendum, further constrain options. Traders price this outcome as highly unlikely absent a sudden reversal in inter-party negotiations or external diplomatic shifts before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti