India’s assumption of the BRICS chairmanship on January 1, 2026, and its role hosting the foreign ministers’ meeting in New Delhi this May have reinforced institutional continuity and reduced exit risks. Recent sessions exposed divisions over the Iran conflict yet produced only a chair’s statement rather than any withdrawal signals, with all current full members—including the ten confirmed nations such as Indonesia and the UAE—continuing active participation. No official denunciations or formal exit notices have surfaced, and historical precedent shows no full member has departed since the group’s formation. These developments underpin the 85.5 percent trader consensus that no country will leave before year-end, reflecting sustained multilateral engagement despite internal policy differences.