Tight cattle inventories at 75-year lows, driven by persistent drought and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant force supporting ground beef prices near $6.70 per pound in early 2026, with USDA forecasts projecting 10% or greater annual increases amid constrained domestic production of 25.8 billion pounds. Strong consumer demand, reflected in retail beef averaging above $9.50 per pound through February, continues to outpace supply, prompting higher lean-trim imports to stabilize ground beef availability while live-cattle prices hold near record levels around $2.58 per pound. Traders are closely monitoring summer grilling demand and any early signs of herd rebuilding, as moderation in consumer spending or accelerated imports could influence whether prices breach key thresholds later this year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$18,696 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
51%
$9.000+
38%
$10.000+
16%
$18,696 Vol.
$7.000+
$50 Vol.
76%
$8.000+
$1,514 Vol.
51%
$9.000+
$22 Vol.
38%
$10.000+
$17,111 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle inventories at 75-year lows, driven by persistent drought and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant force supporting ground beef prices near $6.70 per pound in early 2026, with USDA forecasts projecting 10% or greater annual increases amid constrained domestic production of 25.8 billion pounds. Strong consumer demand, reflected in retail beef averaging above $9.50 per pound through February, continues to outpace supply, prompting higher lean-trim imports to stabilize ground beef availability while live-cattle prices hold near record levels around $2.58 per pound. Traders are closely monitoring summer grilling demand and any early signs of herd rebuilding, as moderation in consumer spending or accelerated imports could influence whether prices breach key thresholds later this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$18,696Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle inventories at 75-year lows, driven by persistent drought and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant force supporting ground beef prices near $6.70 per pound in early 2026, with USDA forecasts projecting 10% or greater annual increases amid constrained domestic production of 25.8 billion pounds. Strong consumer demand, reflected in retail beef averaging above $9.50 per pound through February, continues to outpace supply, prompting higher lean-trim imports to stabilize ground beef availability while live-cattle prices hold near record levels around $2.58 per pound. Traders are closely monitoring summer grilling demand and any early signs of herd rebuilding, as moderation in consumer spending or accelerated imports could influence whether prices breach key thresholds later this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$18,696Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight cattle inventories at 75-year lows, driven by persistent drought and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant force supporting ground beef prices near $6.70 per pound in early 2026, with USDA forecasts projecting 10% or greater annual increases amid constrained domestic production of 25.8 billion pounds. Strong consumer demand, reflected in retail beef averaging above $9.50 per pound through February, continues to outpace supply, prompting higher lean-trim imports to stabilize ground beef availability while live-cattle prices hold near record levels around $2.58 per pound. Traders are closely monitoring summer grilling demand and any early signs of herd rebuilding, as moderation in consumer spending or accelerated imports could influence whether prices breach key thresholds later this year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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