President Donald Trump’s early 2026 proposals to acquire Greenland through purchase or negotiations, alongside rhetorical interest in Canadian territory, produced only limited diplomatic frameworks after NATO and Danish pushback, with no treaties, referendums, or sovereignty transfers advancing. Strong Greenlandic and international opposition, reinforced by constitutional and international legal barriers, has kept formal annexation off the table through mid-August. Congressional bills for statehood remain symbolic without Senate action or executive follow-through. Traders assign just 3-4% probability to any U.S. annexation by year-end, reflecting the absence of scheduled votes or breakthroughs. Late diplomatic deals, shifts in Arctic security priorities, or unforeseen congressional moves could still alter the outcome before December 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
4% probabilità
$154,652 Vol.
$154,652 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
4% probabilità
$154,652 Vol.
$154,652 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s early 2026 proposals to acquire Greenland through purchase or negotiations, alongside rhetorical interest in Canadian territory, produced only limited diplomatic frameworks after NATO and Danish pushback, with no treaties, referendums, or sovereignty transfers advancing. Strong Greenlandic and international opposition, reinforced by constitutional and international legal barriers, has kept formal annexation off the table through mid-August. Congressional bills for statehood remain symbolic without Senate action or executive follow-through. Traders assign just 3-4% probability to any U.S. annexation by year-end, reflecting the absence of scheduled votes or breakthroughs. Late diplomatic deals, shifts in Arctic security priorities, or unforeseen congressional moves could still alter the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$154,652Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s early 2026 proposals to acquire Greenland through purchase or negotiations, alongside rhetorical interest in Canadian territory, produced only limited diplomatic frameworks after NATO and Danish pushback, with no treaties, referendums, or sovereignty transfers advancing. Strong Greenlandic and international opposition, reinforced by constitutional and international legal barriers, has kept formal annexation off the table through mid-August. Congressional bills for statehood remain symbolic without Senate action or executive follow-through. Traders assign just 3-4% probability to any U.S. annexation by year-end, reflecting the absence of scheduled votes or breakthroughs. Late diplomatic deals, shifts in Arctic security priorities, or unforeseen congressional moves could still alter the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$154,652Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s early 2026 proposals to acquire Greenland through purchase or negotiations, alongside rhetorical interest in Canadian territory, produced only limited diplomatic frameworks after NATO and Danish pushback, with no treaties, referendums, or sovereignty transfers advancing. Strong Greenlandic and international opposition, reinforced by constitutional and international legal barriers, has kept formal annexation off the table through mid-August. Congressional bills for statehood remain symbolic without Senate action or executive follow-through. Traders assign just 3-4% probability to any U.S. annexation by year-end, reflecting the absence of scheduled votes or breakthroughs. Late diplomatic deals, shifts in Arctic security priorities, or unforeseen congressional moves could still alter the outcome before December 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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