Google holds near-certain implied probability as the #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share for the week of August 31 due to its consistent mid-tier token volume amid volatile leadership from lower-cost Chinese providers. Recent leaderboards show DeepSeek, Tencent, Xiaomi, and Z.ai models frequently claiming the top spots through aggressive pricing and strong agentic or coding performance, compressing shares among U.S. labs while Google’s Gemini variants maintain steadier developer routing without the extreme swings seen in open-weight alternatives. This positioning aligns with broader 2026 trends of Chinese models capturing over half of routed volume. A late-week surge by another lab or unexpected Gemini uptake could still shift the final ranking before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Google 100.0%
OpenAI 2.1%
Xiaomi <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$10,185 Vol.
$10,185 Vol.

DeepSeek
いいえ

Z.ai
いいえ

OpenAI
いいえ

Tencent
いいえ

Xiaomi
いいえ

はい

Anthropic
いいえ

MiniMax
いいえ

Nvidia
いいえ

Qwen
いいえ

Meta
いいえ

xAI
いいえ
Google 100.0%
OpenAI 2.1%
Xiaomi <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$10,185 Vol.
$10,185 Vol.

DeepSeek
いいえ

Z.ai
いいえ

OpenAI
いいえ

Tencent
いいえ

Xiaomi
いいえ

はい

Anthropic
いいえ

MiniMax
いいえ

Nvidia
いいえ

Qwen
いいえ

Meta
いいえ

xAI
いいえ
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Google holds near-certain implied probability as the #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share for the week of August 31 due to its consistent mid-tier token volume amid volatile leadership from lower-cost Chinese providers. Recent leaderboards show DeepSeek, Tencent, Xiaomi, and Z.ai models frequently claiming the top spots through aggressive pricing and strong agentic or coding performance, compressing shares among U.S. labs while Google’s Gemini variants maintain steadier developer routing without the extreme swings seen in open-weight alternatives. This positioning aligns with broader 2026 trends of Chinese models capturing over half of routed volume. A late-week surge by another lab or unexpected Gemini uptake could still shift the final ranking before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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