Recent polling averages place PSOE-A vote intentions between 21 and 25 percent, projecting 24 to 30 seats in the 109-seat Andalusian parliament and keeping the 24-26 and 27-29 ranges nearly even in trader assessments. The incumbent PP's consistent lead above 42 percent, combined with a fragmented opposition that includes Vox and smaller left-wing lists, has compressed PSOE-A's seat ceiling while limiting downside risks in final surveys from firms such as SigmaDos and GAD3. Election-day factors including turnout in traditional socialist strongholds and any last-minute shifts in rural districts could separate the two leading buckets before official results are certified.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日24-26 43%
27-29 40%
21-23 13.9%
30-32 7.4%
$4,552 Vol.
$4,552 Vol.
2026/05/17
<21
2%
21-23
10%
24-26
43%
27-29
48%
30-32
7%
33+
4%
24-26 43%
27-29 40%
21-23 13.9%
30-32 7.4%
$4,552 Vol.
$4,552 Vol.
2026/05/17
<21
$546 Vol.
2%
21-23
$727 Vol.
10%
24-26
$421 Vol.
43%
27-29
$614 Vol.
48%
30-32
$252 Vol.
7%
33+
$1,993 Vol.
4%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polling averages place PSOE-A vote intentions between 21 and 25 percent, projecting 24 to 30 seats in the 109-seat Andalusian parliament and keeping the 24-26 and 27-29 ranges nearly even in trader assessments. The incumbent PP's consistent lead above 42 percent, combined with a fragmented opposition that includes Vox and smaller left-wing lists, has compressed PSOE-A's seat ceiling while limiting downside risks in final surveys from firms such as SigmaDos and GAD3. Election-day factors including turnout in traditional socialist strongholds and any last-minute shifts in rural districts could separate the two leading buckets before official results are certified.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
音量
$4,552終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polling averages place PSOE-A vote intentions between 21 and 25 percent, projecting 24 to 30 seats in the 109-seat Andalusian parliament and keeping the 24-26 and 27-29 ranges nearly even in trader assessments. The incumbent PP's consistent lead above 42 percent, combined with a fragmented opposition that includes Vox and smaller left-wing lists, has compressed PSOE-A's seat ceiling while limiting downside risks in final surveys from firms such as SigmaDos and GAD3. Election-day factors including turnout in traditional socialist strongholds and any last-minute shifts in rural districts could separate the two leading buckets before official results are certified.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
音量
$4,552終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place PSOE-A vote intentions between 21 and 25 percent, projecting 24 to 30 seats in the 109-seat Andalusian parliament and keeping the 24-26 and 27-29 ranges nearly even in trader assessments. The incumbent PP's consistent lead above 42 percent, combined with a fragmented opposition that includes Vox and smaller left-wing lists, has compressed PSOE-A's seat ceiling while limiting downside risks in final surveys from firms such as SigmaDos and GAD3. Election-day factors including turnout in traditional socialist strongholds and any last-minute shifts in rural districts could separate the two leading buckets before official results are certified.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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