Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party holds a commanding lead in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections, with traders assigning it over 91 percent probability of winning the most seats in the National Assembly. This positioning stems from the party’s incumbency advantage since the 2018 Velvet Revolution, its recent registration of a full candidate list, and the launch of its “Real Armenia” platform emphasizing European integration and domestic reforms. Fragmented opposition forces, including Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, have struggled to consolidate support amid voter focus on security and economic normalization. A constitutional majority for Civil Contract remains plausible if turnout favors the incumbent, though late shifts could occur from unexpected opposition alliances or renewed public debate over territorial issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日シビル・コントラクト 92%
ストロング・アルメニア 7.3%
アルメニア連合 <1%
アルメニア国民会議 <1%
$194,502 Vol.
$194,502 Vol.
2026/06/07
シビル・コントラクト
92%
ストロング・アルメニア
7%
アルメニア連合
<1%
アルメニア国民会議
<1%
繁栄するアルメニア
<1%
ルミナス・アルメニア
<1%
私は名誉同盟
<1%
ハンラペトゥティウン党
<1%
ヘリテージ
<1%
オリナツ・イェルキル
<1%
シビル・コントラクト 92%
ストロング・アルメニア 7.3%
アルメニア連合 <1%
アルメニア国民会議 <1%
$194,502 Vol.
$194,502 Vol.
2026/06/07
シビル・コントラクト
$63,883 Vol.
92%
ストロング・アルメニア
$9,432 Vol.
7%
アルメニア連合
$57,536 Vol.
<1%
アルメニア国民会議
$9,288 Vol.
<1%
繁栄するアルメニア
$11,224 Vol.
<1%
ルミナス・アルメニア
$8,166 Vol.
<1%
私は名誉同盟
$7,759 Vol.
<1%
ハンラペトゥティウン党
$8,292 Vol.
<1%
ヘリテージ
$8,662 Vol.
<1%
オリナツ・イェルキル
$10,260 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party holds a commanding lead in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections, with traders assigning it over 91 percent probability of winning the most seats in the National Assembly. This positioning stems from the party’s incumbency advantage since the 2018 Velvet Revolution, its recent registration of a full candidate list, and the launch of its “Real Armenia” platform emphasizing European integration and domestic reforms. Fragmented opposition forces, including Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, have struggled to consolidate support amid voter focus on security and economic normalization. A constitutional majority for Civil Contract remains plausible if turnout favors the incumbent, though late shifts could occur from unexpected opposition alliances or renewed public debate over territorial issues.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
音量
$194,502終了日
2026/06/07マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party holds a commanding lead in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections, with traders assigning it over 91 percent probability of winning the most seats in the National Assembly. This positioning stems from the party’s incumbency advantage since the 2018 Velvet Revolution, its recent registration of a full candidate list, and the launch of its “Real Armenia” platform emphasizing European integration and domestic reforms. Fragmented opposition forces, including Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, have struggled to consolidate support amid voter focus on security and economic normalization. A constitutional majority for Civil Contract remains plausible if turnout favors the incumbent, though late shifts could occur from unexpected opposition alliances or renewed public debate over territorial issues.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
音量
$194,502終了日
2026/06/07マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party holds a commanding lead in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections, with traders assigning it over 91 percent probability of winning the most seats in the National Assembly. This positioning stems from the party’s incumbency advantage since the 2018 Velvet Revolution, its recent registration of a full candidate list, and the launch of its “Real Armenia” platform emphasizing European integration and domestic reforms. Fragmented opposition forces, including Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, have struggled to consolidate support amid voter focus on security and economic normalization. A constitutional majority for Civil Contract remains plausible if turnout favors the incumbent, though late shifts could occur from unexpected opposition alliances or renewed public debate over territorial issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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