The Bank of Russia’s April 2026 decision to cut its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent, marking the eighth consecutive easing move, has anchored trader expectations for another reduction at the June 19 meeting. Persistent but moderating inflation pressures, with underlying price growth estimated at 4–5 percent annualized and the central bank’s baseline forecast calling for annual inflation to reach 4.5–5.5 percent this year, support further easing while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal policy and external conditions limit the scope. Market-implied odds reflect this path-dependent dynamic, with the Bank’s updated 2026 average rate range of 14.0–14.5 percent reinforcing consensus around a modest additional cut rather than a pause or reversal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Decrease 86%
No Change 13%
Increase 1.4%
$50,913 Vol.
$50,913 Vol.
2026/06/19
Decrease
86%
No Change
13%
Increase
1%
Decrease 86%
No Change 13%
Increase 1.4%
$50,913 Vol.
$50,913 Vol.
2026/06/19
Decrease
$20,261 Vol.
86%
No Change
$10,370 Vol.
13%
Increase
$20,282 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia’s April 2026 decision to cut its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent, marking the eighth consecutive easing move, has anchored trader expectations for another reduction at the June 19 meeting. Persistent but moderating inflation pressures, with underlying price growth estimated at 4–5 percent annualized and the central bank’s baseline forecast calling for annual inflation to reach 4.5–5.5 percent this year, support further easing while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal policy and external conditions limit the scope. Market-implied odds reflect this path-dependent dynamic, with the Bank’s updated 2026 average rate range of 14.0–14.5 percent reinforcing consensus around a modest additional cut rather than a pause or reversal.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
音量
$50,913終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia’s April 2026 decision to cut its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent, marking the eighth consecutive easing move, has anchored trader expectations for another reduction at the June 19 meeting. Persistent but moderating inflation pressures, with underlying price growth estimated at 4–5 percent annualized and the central bank’s baseline forecast calling for annual inflation to reach 4.5–5.5 percent this year, support further easing while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal policy and external conditions limit the scope. Market-implied odds reflect this path-dependent dynamic, with the Bank’s updated 2026 average rate range of 14.0–14.5 percent reinforcing consensus around a modest additional cut rather than a pause or reversal.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$50,913終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia’s April 2026 decision to cut its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent, marking the eighth consecutive easing move, has anchored trader expectations for another reduction at the June 19 meeting. Persistent but moderating inflation pressures, with underlying price growth estimated at 4–5 percent annualized and the central bank’s baseline forecast calling for annual inflation to reach 4.5–5.5 percent this year, support further easing while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal policy and external conditions limit the scope. Market-implied odds reflect this path-dependent dynamic, with the Bank’s updated 2026 average rate range of 14.0–14.5 percent reinforcing consensus around a modest additional cut rather than a pause or reversal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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