Alibaba leads trader consensus at 51.5 percent due to its recent Qwen3 series releases, including Qwen3.6-Plus with enhanced agentic coding and multimodal reasoning that integrate directly into its e-commerce and cloud platforms. These updates have driven higher benchmark scores and broader open-source adoption on platforms like Hugging Face compared to peers. Baidu follows at 40 percent after launching Ernie 5.0, which incorporates external models and supports enterprise search applications, sustaining momentum from earlier 2026 gains. Smaller shares for DeepSeek, ByteDance, and others reflect competitive but narrower advances in specialized areas like coding efficiency, without matching the scale of ecosystem deployment seen in the top two. Upcoming model iterations before month-end could still shift positioning among these contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alibaba 52%
Baidu 41%
Z.ai 6%
ByteDance 3.3%
$129,558 Vol.
$129,558 Vol.
2026/05/31
Alibaba
52%
Baidu
41%
Z.ai
6%
ByteDance
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
1%
Moonshot
1%
Tencent
<1%
Meituan
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Alibaba 52%
Baidu 41%
Z.ai 6%
ByteDance 3.3%
$129,558 Vol.
$129,558 Vol.
2026/05/31
Alibaba
$25,674 Vol.
52%
Baidu
$18,887 Vol.
41%
Z.ai
$14,659 Vol.
6%
ByteDance
$13,168 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$9,595 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$9,314 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$9,711 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$13,616 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$6,617 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$4,063 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$4,253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba leads trader consensus at 51.5 percent due to its recent Qwen3 series releases, including Qwen3.6-Plus with enhanced agentic coding and multimodal reasoning that integrate directly into its e-commerce and cloud platforms. These updates have driven higher benchmark scores and broader open-source adoption on platforms like Hugging Face compared to peers. Baidu follows at 40 percent after launching Ernie 5.0, which incorporates external models and supports enterprise search applications, sustaining momentum from earlier 2026 gains. Smaller shares for DeepSeek, ByteDance, and others reflect competitive but narrower advances in specialized areas like coding efficiency, without matching the scale of ecosystem deployment seen in the top two. Upcoming model iterations before month-end could still shift positioning among these contenders.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
音量
$129,558終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba leads trader consensus at 51.5 percent due to its recent Qwen3 series releases, including Qwen3.6-Plus with enhanced agentic coding and multimodal reasoning that integrate directly into its e-commerce and cloud platforms. These updates have driven higher benchmark scores and broader open-source adoption on platforms like Hugging Face compared to peers. Baidu follows at 40 percent after launching Ernie 5.0, which incorporates external models and supports enterprise search applications, sustaining momentum from earlier 2026 gains. Smaller shares for DeepSeek, ByteDance, and others reflect competitive but narrower advances in specialized areas like coding efficiency, without matching the scale of ecosystem deployment seen in the top two. Upcoming model iterations before month-end could still shift positioning among these contenders.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$129,558終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alibaba leads trader consensus at 51.5 percent due to its recent Qwen3 series releases, including Qwen3.6-Plus with enhanced agentic coding and multimodal reasoning that integrate directly into its e-commerce and cloud platforms. These updates have driven higher benchmark scores and broader open-source adoption on platforms like Hugging Face compared to peers. Baidu follows at 40 percent after launching Ernie 5.0, which incorporates external models and supports enterprise search applications, sustaining momentum from earlier 2026 gains. Smaller shares for DeepSeek, ByteDance, and others reflect competitive but narrower advances in specialized areas like coding efficiency, without matching the scale of ecosystem deployment seen in the top two. Upcoming model iterations before month-end could still shift positioning among these contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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