The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Soo-hyun secured the Democratic Party nomination for the June 3 Chungcheongnam-do gubernatorial election after defeating former governor Yang Seung-jo in an April 15 runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Tae-heum. Recent Realmeter polling shows Park ahead by roughly 13 points, driven by his emphasis on AI-driven industrial growth and renewed integration efforts with Daejeon. Traders assign him a commanding implied probability, reflecting the Democratic Party’s structural advantages in the province and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. Historical patterns of last-minute swings in Chungcheongnam-do elections remain a key variable that could narrow the gap if new policy contrasts or turnout shifts emerge before voting concludes.
The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Soo-hyun secured the Democratic Party nomination for the June 3 Chungcheongnam-do gubernatorial election after defeating former governor Yang Seung-jo in an April 15 runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Tae-heum. Recent Realmeter polling shows Park ahead by roughly 13 points, driven by his emphasis on AI-driven industrial growth and renewed integration efforts with Daejeon. Traders assign him a commanding implied probability, reflecting the Democratic Party’s structural advantages in the province and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. Historical patterns of last-minute swings in Chungcheongnam-do elections remain a key variable that could narrow the gap if new policy contrasts or turnout shifts emerge before voting concludes.
Park Soo-hyun solidifies frontrunner status in Chungcheongnam governor race
Park Soo-hyun jumps to 95%5%
Following his momentum, Park Soo-hyun's market price peaked at 95%, reflecting consolidation of support and diminishing chances for rivals.
Apr 17 2026
Park Soo-hyun gains significant momentum in Chungcheongnam governor race
Park Soo-hyun surges to 90%74%
Park Soo-hyun's market price surged from 16% to 90% within days, indicating a major positive development such as a strong debate performance, key endorsements, or favorable polling results that boosted his perceived chances.
Apr 16 2026
Yang Seung-jo's support collapses amid campaign setbacks
Yang Seung-jo plunges to 2%53%
Yang Seung-jo's market price plummeted from 55% to 2%, indicating significant negative news such as poor debate performance, scandal, or loss of endorsements that severely damaged his campaign.
Apr 16 2026
Park Soo-hyun consolidates lead as rivals fade
Park Soo-hyun surges to 90%62%
Park Soo-hyun's price jumped significantly as other candidates saw their support collapse, solidifying his position as the dominant candidate.
Apr 12 2026
Yang Seung-jo briefly surges in polls before rapid decline
Yang Seung-jo surges to 84%68%
Yang Seung-jo's price peaked at 84% but quickly fell, indicating a temporary boost from a positive event followed by damaging news or loss of support.
Mar 15 2026
Kim Tae-heum's campaign falters after poor primary showing
Kim Tae-heum plunges to 7%31%
Kim Tae-heum's market price dropped from 38% to 7% following disappointing primary results or negative polling, signaling a loss of viability.
Feb 18 2026
Park Soo-hyun faces campaign challenges causing price volatility
Park Soo-hyun plunges to 6%23%
Park Soo-hyun's market price dropped sharply to 6% due to campaign difficulties or negative news but later recovered, showing resilience and eventual recovery of support.
Dec 8 2025
Park Soo-hyun support surges following political developments
Park Soo-hyun surges to 47%44%
Park Soo-hyun's market price experienced a significant upward swing, reflecting a shift in political momentum in his favor.
Nov 18 2025
Park Soo-hyun emerges as early frontrunner in Chungcheongnam governor race
Initial polling and political analysis positioned Park Soo-hyun as a leading candidate, reflected in his starting market price near 48%. This early momentum set the stage for his eventual dominance in the race.
Nov 18 2025
Initial market sentiment shows competitive field for Chungcheongnam Province Governor
At the start of the analysis window, multiple candidates including Park Soo-hyun, Kim Tae-heum, Chung Jin-suk, and Yang Seung-jo held similar levels of support, reflecting a highly uncertain race.
The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Soo-hyun secured the Democratic Party nomination for the June 3 Chungcheongnam-do gubernatorial election after defeating former governor Yang Seung-jo in an April 15 runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Tae-heum. Recent Realmeter polling shows Park ahead by roughly 13 points, driven by his emphasis on AI-driven industrial growth and renewed integration efforts with Daejeon. Traders assign him a commanding implied probability, reflecting the Democratic Party’s structural advantages in the province and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. Historical patterns of last-minute swings in Chungcheongnam-do elections remain a key variable that could narrow the gap if new policy contrasts or turnout shifts emerge before voting concludes.
The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Soo-hyun secured the Democratic Party nomination for the June 3 Chungcheongnam-do gubernatorial election after defeating former governor Yang Seung-jo in an April 15 runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Tae-heum. Recent Realmeter polling shows Park ahead by roughly 13 points, driven by his emphasis on AI-driven industrial growth and renewed integration efforts with Daejeon. Traders assign him a commanding implied probability, reflecting the Democratic Party’s structural advantages in the province and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. Historical patterns of last-minute swings in Chungcheongnam-do elections remain a key variable that could narrow the gap if new policy contrasts or turnout shifts emerge before voting concludes.
Park Soo-hyun solidifies frontrunner status in Chungcheongnam governor race
Park Soo-hyun jumps to 95%5%
Following his momentum, Park Soo-hyun's market price peaked at 95%, reflecting consolidation of support and diminishing chances for rivals.
Apr 17 2026
Park Soo-hyun gains significant momentum in Chungcheongnam governor race
Park Soo-hyun surges to 90%74%
Park Soo-hyun's market price surged from 16% to 90% within days, indicating a major positive development such as a strong debate performance, key endorsements, or favorable polling results that boosted his perceived chances.
Apr 16 2026
Yang Seung-jo's support collapses amid campaign setbacks
Yang Seung-jo plunges to 2%53%
Yang Seung-jo's market price plummeted from 55% to 2%, indicating significant negative news such as poor debate performance, scandal, or loss of endorsements that severely damaged his campaign.
Apr 16 2026
Park Soo-hyun consolidates lead as rivals fade
Park Soo-hyun surges to 90%62%
Park Soo-hyun's price jumped significantly as other candidates saw their support collapse, solidifying his position as the dominant candidate.
Apr 12 2026
Yang Seung-jo briefly surges in polls before rapid decline
Yang Seung-jo surges to 84%68%
Yang Seung-jo's price peaked at 84% but quickly fell, indicating a temporary boost from a positive event followed by damaging news or loss of support.
Mar 15 2026
Kim Tae-heum's campaign falters after poor primary showing
Kim Tae-heum plunges to 7%31%
Kim Tae-heum's market price dropped from 38% to 7% following disappointing primary results or negative polling, signaling a loss of viability.
Feb 18 2026
Park Soo-hyun faces campaign challenges causing price volatility
Park Soo-hyun plunges to 6%23%
Park Soo-hyun's market price dropped sharply to 6% due to campaign difficulties or negative news but later recovered, showing resilience and eventual recovery of support.
Dec 8 2025
Park Soo-hyun support surges following political developments
Park Soo-hyun surges to 47%44%
Park Soo-hyun's market price experienced a significant upward swing, reflecting a shift in political momentum in his favor.
Nov 18 2025
Park Soo-hyun emerges as early frontrunner in Chungcheongnam governor race
Initial polling and political analysis positioned Park Soo-hyun as a leading candidate, reflected in his starting market price near 48%. This early momentum set the stage for his eventual dominance in the race.
Nov 18 2025
Initial market sentiment shows competitive field for Chungcheongnam Province Governor
At the start of the analysis window, multiple candidates including Park Soo-hyun, Kim Tae-heum, Chung Jin-suk, and Yang Seung-jo held similar levels of support, reflecting a highly uncertain race.
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