Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
<48%
5%
48-51%
17%
51-54%
21%
54-57%
58%
57-60%
13%
60%+
17%
54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
<48%
$436 Vol.
5%
48-51%
$428 Vol.
17%
51-54%
$420 Vol.
21%
54-57%
$441 Vol.
58%
57-60%
$420 Vol.
13%
60%+
$489 Vol.
17%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
マーケット開始日： Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
音量
$2,634終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
音量
$2,634終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問