Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through May 2028 under Turkey’s constitution, with no scheduled elections or constitutional mechanisms for early removal before the end of 2026. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including his January 2026 declaration of a “year of reform,” ongoing diplomatic engagements, and parliamentary progress on Kurdish peace initiatives as of April. Allegations of health concerns from early 2026 produced no official confirmation, leadership transition, or incapacity proceedings. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the absence of viable snap-election calls, impeachment pathways, or opposition momentum capable of altering the outcome within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
2026/12/31
4%を獲得
はい
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
2026/12/31
4%を獲得
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through May 2028 under Turkey’s constitution, with no scheduled elections or constitutional mechanisms for early removal before the end of 2026. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including his January 2026 declaration of a “year of reform,” ongoing diplomatic engagements, and parliamentary progress on Kurdish peace initiatives as of April. Allegations of health concerns from early 2026 produced no official confirmation, leadership transition, or incapacity proceedings. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the absence of viable snap-election calls, impeachment pathways, or opposition momentum capable of altering the outcome within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
音量
$348,914終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through May 2028 under Turkey’s constitution, with no scheduled elections or constitutional mechanisms for early removal before the end of 2026. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including his January 2026 declaration of a “year of reform,” ongoing diplomatic engagements, and parliamentary progress on Kurdish peace initiatives as of April. Allegations of health concerns from early 2026 produced no official confirmation, leadership transition, or incapacity proceedings. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the absence of viable snap-election calls, impeachment pathways, or opposition momentum capable of altering the outcome within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$348,914終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through May 2028 under Turkey’s constitution, with no scheduled elections or constitutional mechanisms for early removal before the end of 2026. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including his January 2026 declaration of a “year of reform,” ongoing diplomatic engagements, and parliamentary progress on Kurdish peace initiatives as of April. Allegations of health concerns from early 2026 produced no official confirmation, leadership transition, or incapacity proceedings. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the absence of viable snap-election calls, impeachment pathways, or opposition momentum capable of altering the outcome within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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