Congressional leaders have advanced short-term extensions of Section 702 authorities, most recently a 45-day measure passed in late April 2026 that shifts the expiration to mid-June, reflecting broad bipartisan agreement on preserving the foreign surveillance program amid ongoing intelligence needs. Traders assign a 98.6% probability to reauthorization before lapse because the administration and key committees continue to prioritize renewal, consistent with prior cycles where national security concerns have overridden reform disputes. Remaining hurdles include negotiations over warrant requirements and privacy amendments, yet recent House and Senate actions indicate momentum toward a longer-term bill. A lapse would require an unprecedented failure to pass even a clean extension before the June deadline, a low-probability outcome given institutional incentives and intelligence community pressure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,975 Vol.
$40,975 Vol.
2026/04/30
$40,975 Vol.
$40,975 Vol.
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional leaders have advanced short-term extensions of Section 702 authorities, most recently a 45-day measure passed in late April 2026 that shifts the expiration to mid-June, reflecting broad bipartisan agreement on preserving the foreign surveillance program amid ongoing intelligence needs. Traders assign a 98.6% probability to reauthorization before lapse because the administration and key committees continue to prioritize renewal, consistent with prior cycles where national security concerns have overridden reform disputes. Remaining hurdles include negotiations over warrant requirements and privacy amendments, yet recent House and Senate actions indicate momentum toward a longer-term bill. A lapse would require an unprecedented failure to pass even a clean extension before the June deadline, a low-probability outcome given institutional incentives and intelligence community pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
音量
$40,975終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional leaders have advanced short-term extensions of Section 702 authorities, most recently a 45-day measure passed in late April 2026 that shifts the expiration to mid-June, reflecting broad bipartisan agreement on preserving the foreign surveillance program amid ongoing intelligence needs. Traders assign a 98.6% probability to reauthorization before lapse because the administration and key committees continue to prioritize renewal, consistent with prior cycles where national security concerns have overridden reform disputes. Remaining hurdles include negotiations over warrant requirements and privacy amendments, yet recent House and Senate actions indicate momentum toward a longer-term bill. A lapse would require an unprecedented failure to pass even a clean extension before the June deadline, a low-probability outcome given institutional incentives and intelligence community pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$40,975終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional leaders have advanced short-term extensions of Section 702 authorities, most recently a 45-day measure passed in late April 2026 that shifts the expiration to mid-June, reflecting broad bipartisan agreement on preserving the foreign surveillance program amid ongoing intelligence needs. Traders assign a 98.6% probability to reauthorization before lapse because the administration and key committees continue to prioritize renewal, consistent with prior cycles where national security concerns have overridden reform disputes. Remaining hurdles include negotiations over warrant requirements and privacy amendments, yet recent House and Senate actions indicate momentum toward a longer-term bill. A lapse would require an unprecedented failure to pass even a clean extension before the June deadline, a low-probability outcome given institutional incentives and intelligence community pressure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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