Congressional passage of a 45-day extension for FISA Section 702 authorities on April 30, 2026—pushing the expiration to mid-June—has solidified trader consensus at 97.5% for reauthorization before lapse, reflecting the program's critical role in foreign intelligence collection by NSA and FBI amid counterterrorism priorities. Bipartisan House approval of a three-year renewal bill (235-191) earlier that week, coupled with historical patterns of last-minute fixes despite debates over warrant requirements for U.S. person queries and data-broker loopholes, underscores high confidence. Leadership from both parties advances negotiations, with Senate action imminent. Realistic disruptions remain slim but include filibuster holds, irreconcilable reform demands, or procedural gridlock causing temporary shutdown of surveillance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,917 Vol.
$40,917 Vol.
2026/04/30
$40,917 Vol.
$40,917 Vol.
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional passage of a 45-day extension for FISA Section 702 authorities on April 30, 2026—pushing the expiration to mid-June—has solidified trader consensus at 97.5% for reauthorization before lapse, reflecting the program's critical role in foreign intelligence collection by NSA and FBI amid counterterrorism priorities. Bipartisan House approval of a three-year renewal bill (235-191) earlier that week, coupled with historical patterns of last-minute fixes despite debates over warrant requirements for U.S. person queries and data-broker loopholes, underscores high confidence. Leadership from both parties advances negotiations, with Senate action imminent. Realistic disruptions remain slim but include filibuster holds, irreconcilable reform demands, or procedural gridlock causing temporary shutdown of surveillance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
音量
$40,917終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional passage of a 45-day extension for FISA Section 702 authorities on April 30, 2026—pushing the expiration to mid-June—has solidified trader consensus at 97.5% for reauthorization before lapse, reflecting the program's critical role in foreign intelligence collection by NSA and FBI amid counterterrorism priorities. Bipartisan House approval of a three-year renewal bill (235-191) earlier that week, coupled with historical patterns of last-minute fixes despite debates over warrant requirements for U.S. person queries and data-broker loopholes, underscores high confidence. Leadership from both parties advances negotiations, with Senate action imminent. Realistic disruptions remain slim but include filibuster holds, irreconcilable reform demands, or procedural gridlock causing temporary shutdown of surveillance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$40,917終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional passage of a 45-day extension for FISA Section 702 authorities on April 30, 2026—pushing the expiration to mid-June—has solidified trader consensus at 97.5% for reauthorization before lapse, reflecting the program's critical role in foreign intelligence collection by NSA and FBI amid counterterrorism priorities. Bipartisan House approval of a three-year renewal bill (235-191) earlier that week, coupled with historical patterns of last-minute fixes despite debates over warrant requirements for U.S. person queries and data-broker loopholes, underscores high confidence. Leadership from both parties advances negotiations, with Senate action imminent. Realistic disruptions remain slim but include filibuster holds, irreconcilable reform demands, or procedural gridlock causing temporary shutdown of surveillance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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