Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ノエル・トーマス 42%
シェーン・カイン 31.2%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.3%
マイク・カバード 9.1%
$47,329 Vol.
$47,329 Vol.
2027/03/31
シーラ・ギャリティ
1%
シェーン・カイン
31%
ナイアル・マーフィー
<1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
9%
オーラ・ニュージェント
<1%
ヘレン・オグブ
4%
デンマン・ルーク
1%
ノエル・トーマス
47%
トーマス・ウェルビー
<1%
マイク・カバード
10%
マーク・ローハン
4%
ノエル・トーマス 42%
シェーン・カイン 31.2%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.3%
マイク・カバード 9.1%
$47,329 Vol.
$47,329 Vol.
2027/03/31
シーラ・ギャリティ
$20,246 Vol.
1%
シェーン・カイン
$4,700 Vol.
31%
ナイアル・マーフィー
$1,834 Vol.
<1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
$1,646 Vol.
9%
オーラ・ニュージェント
$1,680 Vol.
<1%
ヘレン・オグブ
$3,933 Vol.
4%
デンマン・ルーク
$1,612 Vol.
1%
ノエル・トーマス
$5,057 Vol.
47%
トーマス・ウェルビー
$1,697 Vol.
<1%
マイク・カバード
$2,416 Vol.
10%
マーク・ローハン
$2,509 Vol.
4%
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
音量
$47,329終了日
2027/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
音量
$47,329終了日
2027/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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