**Frank F. Blas Jr. holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the August 1, 2026 Republican primary for Guam governor, followed closely by Vicente “Tony” Ada, with lower probabilities assigned to Marcel Camacho, Douglas Moylan, and Charlie Hermosa.** The contest centers on two main declared candidates after disqualifications removed others from the ballot: current Guam Legislature Speaker Blas Jr., paired with former Guam Community College president Mary A.Y. Okada, and state senator Ada, running with businessman Edward John Calvo. Blas benefits from his institutional role and established Republican base within the legislature, while Ada gained early visibility through his announcement and running-mate selection. Limited recent polling and the approaching primary deadline keep the race competitive, with ballot order (Ada listed first) and vote consolidation among remaining contenders as key variables that could shift implied probabilities before primary day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Vicente Ada 57%
Frank F. Blas Jr. 41%
Charlie Hermosa <1%
Douglas Moylan <1%
$35,465 Vol.
$35,465 Vol.
Vicente Ada
57%
Frank F. Blas Jr.
41%
Charlie Hermosa
1%
Douglas Moylan
1%
Marcel Camacho
1%
Vicente Ada 57%
Frank F. Blas Jr. 41%
Charlie Hermosa <1%
Douglas Moylan <1%
$35,465 Vol.
$35,465 Vol.
Vicente Ada
57%
Frank F. Blas Jr.
41%
Charlie Hermosa
1%
Douglas Moylan
1%
Marcel Camacho
1%
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Frank F. Blas Jr. holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the August 1, 2026 Republican primary for Guam governor, followed closely by Vicente “Tony” Ada, with lower probabilities assigned to Marcel Camacho, Douglas Moylan, and Charlie Hermosa.** The contest centers on two main declared candidates after disqualifications removed others from the ballot: current Guam Legislature Speaker Blas Jr., paired with former Guam Community College president Mary A.Y. Okada, and state senator Ada, running with businessman Edward John Calvo. Blas benefits from his institutional role and established Republican base within the legislature, while Ada gained early visibility through his announcement and running-mate selection. Limited recent polling and the approaching primary deadline keep the race competitive, with ballot order (Ada listed first) and vote consolidation among remaining contenders as key variables that could shift implied probabilities before primary day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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