Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on August 11 centers on a persistent upper-level ridge promoting mostly sunny, hot conditions with highs near 99–101°F, driving the tight market split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Subtle differences hinge on forecast variables including afternoon dew points near 75°F, light southerly winds, and minor timing of any high-cloud cover that could limit peak heating by 1–2°F. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with historical August climatology supporting values clustered around the long-term average high of 98°F when no strong frontal passages intervene. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the exact maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のオースティンの最高気温は？
8月11日のオースティンの最高気温は？
98～99°F 57%
100～101°F 34%
102〜103°F 7%
96～97°F 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
89°F以下
<1%
90～91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96～97°F
5%
98～99°F
57%
100～101°F
34%
102〜103°F
7%
104〜105°F
5%
106〜107°F
<1%
108°F以上
<1%
98～99°F 57%
100～101°F 34%
102〜103°F 7%
96～97°F 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
89°F以下
$12 Vol.
<1%
90～91°F
$80 Vol.
<1%
92〜93°F
$43 Vol.
1%
94〜95°F
$63 Vol.
<1%
96～97°F
$66 Vol.
5%
98～99°F
$110 Vol.
57%
100～101°F
$68 Vol.
34%
102〜103°F
$0 Vol.
7%
104〜105°F
$0 Vol.
5%
106〜107°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
108°F以上
$90 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on August 11 centers on a persistent upper-level ridge promoting mostly sunny, hot conditions with highs near 99–101°F, driving the tight market split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Subtle differences hinge on forecast variables including afternoon dew points near 75°F, light southerly winds, and minor timing of any high-cloud cover that could limit peak heating by 1–2°F. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with historical August climatology supporting values clustered around the long-term average high of 98°F when no strong frontal passages intervene. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
音量
$542終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on August 11 centers on a persistent upper-level ridge promoting mostly sunny, hot conditions with highs near 99–101°F, driving the tight market split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Subtle differences hinge on forecast variables including afternoon dew points near 75°F, light southerly winds, and minor timing of any high-cloud cover that could limit peak heating by 1–2°F. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with historical August climatology supporting values clustered around the long-term average high of 98°F when no strong frontal passages intervene. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$542終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on August 11 centers on a persistent upper-level ridge promoting mostly sunny, hot conditions with highs near 99–101°F, driving the tight market split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Subtle differences hinge on forecast variables including afternoon dew points near 75°F, light southerly winds, and minor timing of any high-cloud cover that could limit peak heating by 1–2°F. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with historical August climatology supporting values clustered around the long-term average high of 98°F when no strong frontal passages intervene. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the exact maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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