Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from official agencies indicate a daily high of 19°C in Beijing today, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, align with historical May patterns where temperatures typically peak in the mid-20s Celsius but have moderated due to regional wind patterns and cloud cover. This positions the consensus firmly at 19°C, reflecting traders' assessment of real-time data from ground stations and numerical weather prediction ensembles. Minor deviations could occur if unexpected afternoon heating or measurement adjustments at Beijing Capital International Airport push readings across the threshold, though model agreement leaves little room for such shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の北京の最高気温は?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$134,751 Vol.
$134,751 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$134,751 Vol.
$134,751 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from official agencies indicate a daily high of 19°C in Beijing today, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, align with historical May patterns where temperatures typically peak in the mid-20s Celsius but have moderated due to regional wind patterns and cloud cover. This positions the consensus firmly at 19°C, reflecting traders' assessment of real-time data from ground stations and numerical weather prediction ensembles. Minor deviations could occur if unexpected afternoon heating or measurement adjustments at Beijing Capital International Airport push readings across the threshold, though model agreement leaves little room for such shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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