Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a Beijing high temperature of 19°C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome. Historical May averages in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius provide climatological context, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations align tightly with this specific threshold rather than warmer or cooler alternatives. Traders’ strong positioning reflects confidence in these verified meteorological data, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects or final official station measurements at the close of the observation period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の北京の最高気温は?
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$133,652 Vol.
$133,652 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$133,652 Vol.
$133,652 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a Beijing high temperature of 19°C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome. Historical May averages in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius provide climatological context, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations align tightly with this specific threshold rather than warmer or cooler alternatives. Traders’ strong positioning reflects confidence in these verified meteorological data, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects or final official station measurements at the close of the observation period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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