Recent meteorological forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 15, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with cool air masses, light winds, and variable cloud cover limiting strong diurnal heating. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology showing average highs of 15–17°C and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 16°C. Official guidance from agencies such as the UK Met Office and regional models emphasize stable, dry patterns without significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative warming that could push readings higher. Traders appear to price in the narrow range of expected outcomes based on these consensus model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 17°C or cooler values pending final observational data from local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
16°C 71%
15°C 16%
17°C 10%
14°C 3%
$19,229 Vol.
$19,229 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
16%
16°C
71%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 71%
15°C 16%
17°C 10%
14°C 3%
$19,229 Vol.
$19,229 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
16%
16°C
71%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 15, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with cool air masses, light winds, and variable cloud cover limiting strong diurnal heating. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology showing average highs of 15–17°C and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 16°C. Official guidance from agencies such as the UK Met Office and regional models emphasize stable, dry patterns without significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative warming that could push readings higher. Traders appear to price in the narrow range of expected outcomes based on these consensus model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 17°C or cooler values pending final observational data from local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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