Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a partly cloudy day with a maximum near 11°C under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow, limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 12–13°C reflects modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which could allow slightly more solar insolation or warmer advection than baseline runs indicate. With August climatology typically featuring maxima around 15–16°C, the cool anomaly stems from recent polar air intrusions and stable stratification suppressing temperature recovery. Updated model outputs expected overnight will clarify whether subtle wind shifts or reduced cloudiness push the daily peak higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
13°C 45%
12°C 27%
14°C 19%
11°C 9%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
9%
12°C
27%
13°C
45%
14°C
19%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
13°C 45%
12°C 27%
14°C 19%
11°C 9%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
9%
12°C
27%
13°C
45%
14°C
19%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a partly cloudy day with a maximum near 11°C under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow, limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 12–13°C reflects modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which could allow slightly more solar insolation or warmer advection than baseline runs indicate. With August climatology typically featuring maxima around 15–16°C, the cool anomaly stems from recent polar air intrusions and stable stratification suppressing temperature recovery. Updated model outputs expected overnight will clarify whether subtle wind shifts or reduced cloudiness push the daily peak higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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