Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のトロントの最低気温は？
8月24日のトロントの最低気温は？
9℃以下 92%
10℃ 49%
11℃ 49%
12°C 43%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
9℃以下
92%
10℃
49%
11℃
49%
12°C
43%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15℃
28%
16°C
27%
17°C
24%
18°C
24%
19℃以上
2%
9℃以下 92%
10℃ 49%
11℃ 49%
12°C 43%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
9℃以下
$5 Vol.
92%
10℃
$5 Vol.
49%
11℃
$5 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
43%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15℃
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$0 Vol.
24%
19℃以上
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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