Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s overnight low for August 24 near 57–59°F, aligning with the 42.5% market-implied probability for that bin and the city’s August climatological average of 57°F. Persistent onshore flow and a typical marine layer will moderate temperatures by advecting cooler Pacific air, limiting radiative cooling overnight while preventing extremes above 65°F or below 55°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no approaching trough or heat ridge to shift the outcome significantly before resolution. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the slim chance of localized clearing that could allow a slightly warmer minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
8月24日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
68°F以上 66%
58〜59°F 37%
49°F以下 28%
60〜61°F 21%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
49°F以下
28%
50～51°F
16%
52～53°F
19%
54〜55°F
19%
56～57°F
19%
58〜59°F
38%
60〜61°F
21%
62～63°F
18%
64〜65°F
8%
66〜67°F
1%
68°F以上
66%
68°F以上 66%
58〜59°F 37%
49°F以下 28%
60〜61°F 21%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
49°F以下
$55 Vol.
28%
50～51°F
$55 Vol.
16%
52～53°F
$0 Vol.
19%
54〜55°F
$0 Vol.
19%
56～57°F
$0 Vol.
19%
58〜59°F
$5 Vol.
38%
60〜61°F
$0 Vol.
21%
62～63°F
$0 Vol.
18%
64〜65°F
$55 Vol.
8%
66〜67°F
$5 Vol.
1%
68°F以上
$185 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s overnight low for August 24 near 57–59°F, aligning with the 42.5% market-implied probability for that bin and the city’s August climatological average of 57°F. Persistent onshore flow and a typical marine layer will moderate temperatures by advecting cooler Pacific air, limiting radiative cooling overnight while preventing extremes above 65°F or below 55°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no approaching trough or heat ridge to shift the outcome significantly before resolution. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the slim chance of localized clearing that could allow a slightly warmer minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$360終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s overnight low for August 24 near 57–59°F, aligning with the 42.5% market-implied probability for that bin and the city’s August climatological average of 57°F. Persistent onshore flow and a typical marine layer will moderate temperatures by advecting cooler Pacific air, limiting radiative cooling overnight while preventing extremes above 65°F or below 55°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no approaching trough or heat ridge to shift the outcome significantly before resolution. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the slim chance of localized clearing that could allow a slightly warmer minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$360終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETConsensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s overnight low for August 24 near 57–59°F, aligning with the 42.5% market-implied probability for that bin and the city’s August climatological average of 57°F. Persistent onshore flow and a typical marine layer will moderate temperatures by advecting cooler Pacific air, limiting radiative cooling overnight while preventing extremes above 65°F or below 55°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no approaching trough or heat ridge to shift the outcome significantly before resolution. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against the slim chance of localized clearing that could allow a slightly warmer minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問