Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models shows southerly advection of warmer air masses over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C today. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by the thermal contrast between land and the East Sea, is expected to moderate peak readings and limit further warming. Historical May climatology for the region supports daily highs clustered around 29–31 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Traders have converged on the 30 °C bin at 100 % implied probability because afternoon observations at Gimhae International Airport station are tracking this narrow range. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could still push the recorded high to 31 °C, but current model consensus makes that outcome unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の釜山の最高気温は?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,353 Vol.
$49,353 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,353 Vol.
$49,353 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models shows southerly advection of warmer air masses over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C today. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by the thermal contrast between land and the East Sea, is expected to moderate peak readings and limit further warming. Historical May climatology for the region supports daily highs clustered around 29–31 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Traders have converged on the 30 °C bin at 100 % implied probability because afternoon observations at Gimhae International Airport station are tracking this narrow range. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could still push the recorded high to 31 °C, but current model consensus makes that outcome unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問