Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, establishing near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin is promoting clear skies and light northeasterly winds that enhance daytime solar heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C, while low-level moisture and minimal model spread limit upside deviation. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, where any unexpected increase in cloud cover or shift in steering flow could still nudge the recorded high into the adjacent 30°C or 32°C bins before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の成都の最高気温は?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,001 Vol.
$66,001 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,001 Vol.
$66,001 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, establishing near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin is promoting clear skies and light northeasterly winds that enhance daytime solar heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C, while low-level moisture and minimal model spread limit upside deviation. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, where any unexpected increase in cloud cover or shift in steering flow could still nudge the recorded high into the adjacent 30°C or 32°C bins before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問