Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a London maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology for southeast England, where typical daytime highs hover near 16–17°C amid transitional spring patterns. Strong model agreement across variables such as cloud thickness, wind backing, and surface heating leaves minimal room for deviation, though any late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection from the Atlantic could realistically lift readings to 19°C. Official Met Office hourly observations will confirm the final high and resolve the market, underscoring how real-time forecast updates shape trader consensus in these short-range temperature contracts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のロンドンの最高気温は?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$165,748 Vol.
$165,748 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$165,748 Vol.
$165,748 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a London maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology for southeast England, where typical daytime highs hover near 16–17°C amid transitional spring patterns. Strong model agreement across variables such as cloud thickness, wind backing, and surface heating leaves minimal room for deviation, though any late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection from the Atlantic could realistically lift readings to 19°C. Official Met Office hourly observations will confirm the final high and resolve the market, underscoring how real-time forecast updates shape trader consensus in these short-range temperature contracts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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