Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a maximum temperature of 36°C for Manila on May 17, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models and real-time surface observations showing stable high-pressure conditions with strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. This outcome aligns closely with climatological norms for late May in the region, when daytime heating routinely peaks in the mid-30s Celsius under light winds and clear skies typical of the dry-to-wet season transition. Any shift would require an unforecasted surge in convective activity or a rapid change in the steering pattern, both of which remain low-probability scenarios given current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のマニラの最高気温は?
36°C 100.0%
29°C以下 <1%
30℃ <1%
31°C <1%
$29,543 Vol.
$29,543 Vol.
29°C以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
<1%
36°C
100%
37℃
<1%
38℃
<1%
39°C以上
<1%
36°C 100.0%
29°C以下 <1%
30℃ <1%
31°C <1%
$29,543 Vol.
$29,543 Vol.
29°C以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
<1%
36°C
100%
37℃
<1%
38℃
<1%
39°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a maximum temperature of 36°C for Manila on May 17, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models and real-time surface observations showing stable high-pressure conditions with strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. This outcome aligns closely with climatological norms for late May in the region, when daytime heating routinely peaks in the mid-30s Celsius under light winds and clear skies typical of the dry-to-wet season transition. Any shift would require an unforecasted surge in convective activity or a rapid change in the steering pattern, both of which remain low-probability scenarios given current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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