Recent forecasts from PAGASA indicate partly cloudy skies and easterly winds over Metro Manila on May 18, supporting a daily high near 34°C as the leading market outcome. This aligns with typical late-May conditions under a high-pressure ridge that promotes strong solar heating while limiting afternoon convection and rainfall. Historical May averages hover around 33–34°C, with recent days showing peaks of 35–36°C when humidity dips below 50 percent and cloud cover remains low. Model consensus points to modest intensification potential during peak afternoon hours, though any unexpected sea-breeze strengthening or isolated showers could shift the reading one degree lower. Updated PAGASA guidance and official station observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport tomorrow afternoon will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のマニラの最高気温は?
34℃ 36%
35°C 31%
33℃ 19%
36°C 9.5%
29℃以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33℃
19%
34℃
36%
35°C
31%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38℃
1%
39℃以上
<1%
34℃ 36%
35°C 31%
33℃ 19%
36°C 9.5%
29℃以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33℃
19%
34℃
36%
35°C
31%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38℃
1%
39℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from PAGASA indicate partly cloudy skies and easterly winds over Metro Manila on May 18, supporting a daily high near 34°C as the leading market outcome. This aligns with typical late-May conditions under a high-pressure ridge that promotes strong solar heating while limiting afternoon convection and rainfall. Historical May averages hover around 33–34°C, with recent days showing peaks of 35–36°C when humidity dips below 50 percent and cloud cover remains low. Model consensus points to modest intensification potential during peak afternoon hours, though any unexpected sea-breeze strengthening or isolated showers could shift the reading one degree lower. Updated PAGASA guidance and official station observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport tomorrow afternoon will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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