Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm, mostly sunny day across the New York City metro area, with afternoon highs likely peaking in the mid-to-upper 80s as southerly flow advects warmer air masses northward under high pressure. This positioning drives the market's tight clustering around the 86–89 °F range, reflecting trader assessment of typical model spread for daily maximum temperature verification at LaGuardia Airport. Minor adjustments in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could shift the final observed high by a degree or two, while any unexpected cloud cover would favor the lower bins near 84–85 °F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
86~87°F 38%
88〜89°F 32%
84~85°F 23%
90~91°F 5.1%
$58,380 Vol.
$58,380 Vol.
華氏79度以下
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82~83°F
2%
84~85°F
23%
86~87°F
38%
88〜89°F
32%
90~91°F
5%
92~93°F
1%
94~95°F
<1%
96~97°F
<1%
98°F以上
<1%
86~87°F 38%
88〜89°F 32%
84~85°F 23%
90~91°F 5.1%
$58,380 Vol.
$58,380 Vol.
華氏79度以下
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82~83°F
2%
84~85°F
23%
86~87°F
38%
88〜89°F
32%
90~91°F
5%
92~93°F
1%
94~95°F
<1%
96~97°F
<1%
98°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm, mostly sunny day across the New York City metro area, with afternoon highs likely peaking in the mid-to-upper 80s as southerly flow advects warmer air masses northward under high pressure. This positioning drives the market's tight clustering around the 86–89 °F range, reflecting trader assessment of typical model spread for daily maximum temperature verification at LaGuardia Airport. Minor adjustments in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could shift the final observed high by a degree or two, while any unexpected cloud cover would favor the lower bins near 84–85 °F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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