Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo highest-temperature market clusters around 21–23°C because short-range model guidance from INMET and global ensembles currently favors a maximum near the late-August climatological average of 22–24°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Limited moisture and minimal frontal activity support modest daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and any coastal breeze could suppress or enhance the peak by 1–2°C. The broad probability distribution reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of winter transition periods, with resolution hinging on the official Mirante de Santana reading. Updated INMET briefings and morning model runs on August 25 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
8月25日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
22°C 33%
23°C 22%
21°C 20%
20°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
20%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
6%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 33%
23°C 22%
21°C 20%
20°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
18°C or below
$23 Vol.
2%
19°C
$151 Vol.
3%
20°C
$66 Vol.
8%
21°C
$270 Vol.
20%
22°C
$111 Vol.
33%
23°C
$170 Vol.
22%
24°C
$249 Vol.
6%
25°C
$56 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$31 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo highest-temperature market clusters around 21–23°C because short-range model guidance from INMET and global ensembles currently favors a maximum near the late-August climatological average of 22–24°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Limited moisture and minimal frontal activity support modest daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and any coastal breeze could suppress or enhance the peak by 1–2°C. The broad probability distribution reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of winter transition periods, with resolution hinging on the official Mirante de Santana reading. Updated INMET briefings and morning model runs on August 25 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
音量
$1,128終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo highest-temperature market clusters around 21–23°C because short-range model guidance from INMET and global ensembles currently favors a maximum near the late-August climatological average of 22–24°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Limited moisture and minimal frontal activity support modest daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and any coastal breeze could suppress or enhance the peak by 1–2°C. The broad probability distribution reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of winter transition periods, with resolution hinging on the official Mirante de Santana reading. Updated INMET briefings and morning model runs on August 25 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,128終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETTrader consensus in the Sao Paulo highest-temperature market clusters around 21–23°C because short-range model guidance from INMET and global ensembles currently favors a maximum near the late-August climatological average of 22–24°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Limited moisture and minimal frontal activity support modest daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and any coastal breeze could suppress or enhance the peak by 1–2°C. The broad probability distribution reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical of winter transition periods, with resolution hinging on the official Mirante de Santana reading. Updated INMET briefings and morning model runs on August 25 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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