Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a Seoul high near 31°C on May 14 under persistent clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 27°C or higher at 38% implied probability, up from cooler early-May readings like 21°C on May 12. This warming stems from a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar heating and minimal cloud cover, contrasting May climatology averages of 22-23°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or subtle northerly airflow that could cap peaks at 25-26°C, as reflected in the tight 25-28% odds for those outcomes. Model ensembles show variability, with KMA updates expected through evening resolving near-term uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
27°C or higher 38.4%
26°C 28%
25°C 24%
24°C 4.5%
新規
$113,854 Vol.
新規
$113,854 Vol.
2026/05/14
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
24%
26°C
28%
27°C or higher
38%
27°C or higher 38.4%
26°C 28%
25°C 24%
24°C 4.5%
新規
$113,854 Vol.
新規
$113,854 Vol.
2026/05/14
17°C or below
$13,073 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$6,684 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,006 Vol.
1%
20°C
$6,339 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$11,702 Vol.
1%
22°C
$20,942 Vol.
2%
23°C
$14,168 Vol.
2%
24°C
$12,026 Vol.
5%
25°C
$4,437 Vol.
24%
26°C
$4,542 Vol.
28%
27°C or higher
$14,037 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a Seoul high near 31°C on May 14 under persistent clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 27°C or higher at 38% implied probability, up from cooler early-May readings like 21°C on May 12. This warming stems from a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar heating and minimal cloud cover, contrasting May climatology averages of 22-23°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or subtle northerly airflow that could cap peaks at 25-26°C, as reflected in the tight 25-28% odds for those outcomes. Model ensembles show variability, with KMA updates expected through evening resolving near-term uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$113,854終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a Seoul high near 31°C on May 14 under persistent clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 27°C or higher at 38% implied probability, up from cooler early-May readings like 21°C on May 12. This warming stems from a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar heating and minimal cloud cover, contrasting May climatology averages of 22-23°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or subtle northerly airflow that could cap peaks at 25-26°C, as reflected in the tight 25-28% odds for those outcomes. Model ensembles show variability, with KMA updates expected through evening resolving near-term uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$113,854終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a Seoul high near 31°C on May 14 under persistent clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 27°C or higher at 38% implied probability, up from cooler early-May readings like 21°C on May 12. This warming stems from a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar heating and minimal cloud cover, contrasting May climatology averages of 22-23°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or subtle northerly airflow that could cap peaks at 25-26°C, as reflected in the tight 25-28% odds for those outcomes. Model ensembles show variability, with KMA updates expected through evening resolving near-term uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問