Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles has converged on a daily maximum of 27°C in Shenzhen, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions over the Pearl River Delta, combined with light easterly winds and partial cloud cover, are moderating daytime heating close to mid-May climatological norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, with resolution criteria tied to the exact recorded high. Minor shifts in shower timing, increased humidity, or localized urban heat-island effects could still push the observed peak 1°C higher or lower before the close of the trading day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の深センの最高気温は?
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
21°C or below <1%
$49,448 Vol.
$49,448 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
21°C or below <1%
$49,448 Vol.
$49,448 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles has converged on a daily maximum of 27°C in Shenzhen, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions over the Pearl River Delta, combined with light easterly winds and partial cloud cover, are moderating daytime heating close to mid-May climatological norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, with resolution criteria tied to the exact recorded high. Minor shifts in shower timing, increased humidity, or localized urban heat-island effects could still push the observed peak 1°C higher or lower before the close of the trading day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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