Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, reinforced by hotter-than-expected August CPI and core readings, has heightened divisions within the FOMC ahead of the October 27–28 meeting. Recent July minutes showed three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate hike, establishing a precedent for regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan to break ranks when policy appears insufficiently restrictive. With the September 15–16 decision likely to involve a rate adjustment amid elevated energy prices and sticky price pressures, trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered around one to three dissents, reflecting uncertainty over voting composition, incoming data, and whether Chair Warsh secures broader consensus. Upcoming inflation releases and labor-market figures will serve as key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日10月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか？
10月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか？
3 25%
2 22%
1 20%
4人以上 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/28
0
15%
1
20%
2
22%
3
25%
4人以上
18%
3 25%
2 22%
1 20%
4人以上 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/28
0
$320 Vol.
15%
1
$345 Vol.
20%
2
$320 Vol.
22%
3
$340 Vol.
25%
4人以上
$690 Vol.
18%
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, reinforced by hotter-than-expected August CPI and core readings, has heightened divisions within the FOMC ahead of the October 27–28 meeting. Recent July minutes showed three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate hike, establishing a precedent for regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan to break ranks when policy appears insufficiently restrictive. With the September 15–16 decision likely to involve a rate adjustment amid elevated energy prices and sticky price pressures, trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered around one to three dissents, reflecting uncertainty over voting composition, incoming data, and whether Chair Warsh secures broader consensus. Upcoming inflation releases and labor-market figures will serve as key swing factors.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
音量
$2,015終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, reinforced by hotter-than-expected August CPI and core readings, has heightened divisions within the FOMC ahead of the October 27–28 meeting. Recent July minutes showed three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate hike, establishing a precedent for regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan to break ranks when policy appears insufficiently restrictive. With the September 15–16 decision likely to involve a rate adjustment amid elevated energy prices and sticky price pressures, trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered around one to three dissents, reflecting uncertainty over voting composition, incoming data, and whether Chair Warsh secures broader consensus. Upcoming inflation releases and labor-market figures will serve as key swing factors.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$2,015終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, reinforced by hotter-than-expected August CPI and core readings, has heightened divisions within the FOMC ahead of the October 27–28 meeting. Recent July minutes showed three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate hike, establishing a precedent for regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan to break ranks when policy appears insufficiently restrictive. With the September 15–16 decision likely to involve a rate adjustment amid elevated energy prices and sticky price pressures, trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered around one to three dissents, reflecting uncertainty over voting composition, incoming data, and whether Chair Warsh secures broader consensus. Upcoming inflation releases and labor-market figures will serve as key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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