Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in recent Florida Republican gubernatorial primary polling with Trump endorsement and far higher fundraising, while James Fishback remains a lower-profile challenger focused on issues such as private equity restrictions on housing. Fishback’s single-digit or low double-digit support in most surveys reflects limited statewide name recognition and weaker campaign infrastructure relative to established figures like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and former Speaker Paul Renner. A July court ruling dismissing residency challenges kept Fishback on the August 18 ballot, yet produced no sustained polling gains. With early voting underway and the primary imminent, trader consensus assigns the highest probability to Fishback finishing below 15 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similarly positioned late entrants in Florida Republican contests.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フィッシュバック <10％ 52%
フィッシュバック 10〜15％ 35%
フィッシュバック 15～20％ 11%
フィッシュバック30％以上 2.3%
$104,763 Vol.
$104,763 Vol.
2026/08/18
フィッシュバック <10％
52%
フィッシュバック 10〜15％
35%
フィッシュバック 15～20％
11%
フィッシュバック 20～25％
2%
フィッシュバック 25〜30％
1%
フィッシュバック30％以上
2%
フィッシュバック <10％ 52%
フィッシュバック 10〜15％ 35%
フィッシュバック 15～20％ 11%
フィッシュバック30％以上 2.3%
$104,763 Vol.
$104,763 Vol.
2026/08/18
フィッシュバック <10％
$73,822 Vol.
52%
フィッシュバック 10〜15％
$9,486 Vol.
35%
フィッシュバック 15～20％
$4,772 Vol.
11%
フィッシュバック 20～25％
$7,588 Vol.
2%
フィッシュバック 25〜30％
$2,951 Vol.
1%
フィッシュバック30％以上
$6,142 Vol.
2%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in recent Florida Republican gubernatorial primary polling with Trump endorsement and far higher fundraising, while James Fishback remains a lower-profile challenger focused on issues such as private equity restrictions on housing. Fishback’s single-digit or low double-digit support in most surveys reflects limited statewide name recognition and weaker campaign infrastructure relative to established figures like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and former Speaker Paul Renner. A July court ruling dismissing residency challenges kept Fishback on the August 18 ballot, yet produced no sustained polling gains. With early voting underway and the primary imminent, trader consensus assigns the highest probability to Fishback finishing below 15 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similarly positioned late entrants in Florida Republican contests.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
音量
$104,763終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in recent Florida Republican gubernatorial primary polling with Trump endorsement and far higher fundraising, while James Fishback remains a lower-profile challenger focused on issues such as private equity restrictions on housing. Fishback’s single-digit or low double-digit support in most surveys reflects limited statewide name recognition and weaker campaign infrastructure relative to established figures like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and former Speaker Paul Renner. A July court ruling dismissing residency challenges kept Fishback on the August 18 ballot, yet produced no sustained polling gains. With early voting underway and the primary imminent, trader consensus assigns the highest probability to Fishback finishing below 15 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similarly positioned late entrants in Florida Republican contests.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$104,763終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in recent Florida Republican gubernatorial primary polling with Trump endorsement and far higher fundraising, while James Fishback remains a lower-profile challenger focused on issues such as private equity restrictions on housing. Fishback’s single-digit or low double-digit support in most surveys reflects limited statewide name recognition and weaker campaign infrastructure relative to established figures like Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and former Speaker Paul Renner. A July court ruling dismissing residency challenges kept Fishback on the August 18 ballot, yet produced no sustained polling gains. With early voting underway and the primary imminent, trader consensus assigns the highest probability to Fishback finishing below 15 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similarly positioned late entrants in Florida Republican contests.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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