Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a low frequency of X activity, with official accounts posting primarily for major statements, religious observances, or policy signals rather than routine updates. Recent months show sporadic engagement, including a March tweetstorm on conflict issues followed by extended periods of minimal output amid his low public profile and focus on internal appointments of hard-line security figures. No major diplomatic summits, religious holidays, or escalatory events are scheduled for August 21–28 that would typically prompt higher volume. Trader consensus favoring under five posts reflects this established pattern of restrained social media use, while modestly higher brackets capture the possibility of a single coordinated message on security or regional posture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<5 66%
5-9 22%
10-14 9%
35-39 5.0%
<5
66%
5-9
22%
10-14
9%
15-19
5%
20-24
4%
25-29
4%
30-34
4%
35-39
5%
40-44
5%
45-49
4%
50-54
5%
55-59
5%
60以上
5%
<5 66%
5-9 22%
10-14 9%
35-39 5.0%
<5
66%
5-9
22%
10-14
9%
15-19
5%
20-24
4%
25-29
4%
30-34
4%
35-39
5%
40-44
5%
45-49
4%
50-54
5%
55-59
5%
60以上
5%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a low frequency of X activity, with official accounts posting primarily for major statements, religious observances, or policy signals rather than routine updates. Recent months show sporadic engagement, including a March tweetstorm on conflict issues followed by extended periods of minimal output amid his low public profile and focus on internal appointments of hard-line security figures. No major diplomatic summits, religious holidays, or escalatory events are scheduled for August 21–28 that would typically prompt higher volume. Trader consensus favoring under five posts reflects this established pattern of restrained social media use, while modestly higher brackets capture the possibility of a single coordinated message on security or regional posture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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