Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account continues to share archived statements from prior years at irregular intervals following his assassination in a U.S.-Israeli operation on February 28, 2026. Recent activity in early May 2026 included only a handful of reposts of older messages on topics such as family policy and international relations, consistent with the account's established pattern of selective, non-daily updates rather than real-time commentary. With no major new diplomatic, military, or domestic developments reported in the immediate period, traders see limited catalysts for higher posting volume during the May 15-22 window. The current market pricing reflects this historical baseline of infrequent activity from the martyred leader's platform.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日＜5 50%
5〜9 8%
55〜59 5.8%
30〜34 4.6%
新規
新規
2026/05/22
＜5
50%
5〜9
26%
10〜14
22%
15〜19
22%
20～24
15%
25〜29
20%
30〜34
5%
35～39
1%
40～44
1%
45～49
1%
50～54
6%
55〜59
6%
60件以上
<1%
＜5 50%
5〜9 8%
55〜59 5.8%
30〜34 4.6%
新規
新規
2026/05/22
＜5
$297 Vol.
50%
5〜9
$81 Vol.
26%
10〜14
$90 Vol.
22%
15〜19
$63 Vol.
22%
20～24
$59 Vol.
15%
25〜29
$59 Vol.
20%
30〜34
$120 Vol.
5%
35～39
$88 Vol.
1%
40～44
$190 Vol.
1%
45～49
$120 Vol.
1%
50～54
$197 Vol.
6%
55〜59
$179 Vol.
6%
60件以上
$338 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account continues to share archived statements from prior years at irregular intervals following his assassination in a U.S.-Israeli operation on February 28, 2026. Recent activity in early May 2026 included only a handful of reposts of older messages on topics such as family policy and international relations, consistent with the account's established pattern of selective, non-daily updates rather than real-time commentary. With no major new diplomatic, military, or domestic developments reported in the immediate period, traders see limited catalysts for higher posting volume during the May 15-22 window. The current market pricing reflects this historical baseline of infrequent activity from the martyred leader's platform.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$1,879終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account continues to share archived statements from prior years at irregular intervals following his assassination in a U.S.-Israeli operation on February 28, 2026. Recent activity in early May 2026 included only a handful of reposts of older messages on topics such as family policy and international relations, consistent with the account's established pattern of selective, non-daily updates rather than real-time commentary. With no major new diplomatic, military, or domestic developments reported in the immediate period, traders see limited catalysts for higher posting volume during the May 15-22 window. The current market pricing reflects this historical baseline of infrequent activity from the martyred leader's platform.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$1,879終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account continues to share archived statements from prior years at irregular intervals following his assassination in a U.S.-Israeli operation on February 28, 2026. Recent activity in early May 2026 included only a handful of reposts of older messages on topics such as family policy and international relations, consistent with the account's established pattern of selective, non-daily updates rather than real-time commentary. With no major new diplomatic, military, or domestic developments reported in the immediate period, traders see limited catalysts for higher posting volume during the May 15-22 window. The current market pricing reflects this historical baseline of infrequent activity from the martyred leader's platform.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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