Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's restrained communication pattern as Iran's Supreme Leader continues to anchor trader consensus around fewer than five posts for the week of May 15-22, 2026. Official channels typically issue brief statements on nuclear policy, regional security, or domestic matters rather than frequent updates, consistent with historical output levels. No major diplomatic summits, military escalations, or public addresses have materialized in the past several days to accelerate messaging volume. Market pricing reflects the low baseline frequency while leaving room for modest increases should ongoing Middle East tensions or internal policy reviews generate additional official releases before the period closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日＜5 49%
15〜19 22.1%
55〜59 12.0%
5〜9 8%
新規
新規
2026/05/22
＜5
49%
5〜9
26%
10〜14
22%
15〜19
22%
20～24
14%
25〜29
11%
30〜34
13%
35～39
1%
40～44
1%
45～49
1%
50～54
34%
55〜59
12%
60件以上
<1%
＜5 49%
15〜19 22.1%
55〜59 12.0%
5〜9 8%
新規
新規
2026/05/22
＜5
$297 Vol.
49%
5〜9
$81 Vol.
26%
10〜14
$90 Vol.
22%
15〜19
$63 Vol.
22%
20～24
$59 Vol.
14%
25〜29
$59 Vol.
11%
30〜34
$120 Vol.
13%
35～39
$88 Vol.
1%
40～44
$190 Vol.
1%
45～49
$120 Vol.
1%
50～54
$197 Vol.
34%
55〜59
$179 Vol.
12%
60件以上
$338 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's restrained communication pattern as Iran's Supreme Leader continues to anchor trader consensus around fewer than five posts for the week of May 15-22, 2026. Official channels typically issue brief statements on nuclear policy, regional security, or domestic matters rather than frequent updates, consistent with historical output levels. No major diplomatic summits, military escalations, or public addresses have materialized in the past several days to accelerate messaging volume. Market pricing reflects the low baseline frequency while leaving room for modest increases should ongoing Middle East tensions or internal policy reviews generate additional official releases before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$1,879終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's restrained communication pattern as Iran's Supreme Leader continues to anchor trader consensus around fewer than five posts for the week of May 15-22, 2026. Official channels typically issue brief statements on nuclear policy, regional security, or domestic matters rather than frequent updates, consistent with historical output levels. No major diplomatic summits, military escalations, or public addresses have materialized in the past several days to accelerate messaging volume. Market pricing reflects the low baseline frequency while leaving room for modest increases should ongoing Middle East tensions or internal policy reviews generate additional official releases before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$1,879終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's restrained communication pattern as Iran's Supreme Leader continues to anchor trader consensus around fewer than five posts for the week of May 15-22, 2026. Official channels typically issue brief statements on nuclear policy, regional security, or domestic matters rather than frequent updates, consistent with historical output levels. No major diplomatic summits, military escalations, or public addresses have materialized in the past several days to accelerate messaging volume. Market pricing reflects the low baseline frequency while leaving room for modest increases should ongoing Middle East tensions or internal policy reviews generate additional official releases before the period closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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