Official Khamenei-linked X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and @Khamenei_fa, have maintained minimal new output in recent weeks, relying primarily on archival quotes and limited regional commentary rather than fresh statements from Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. This pattern aligns with the current low-profile approach amid security concerns following earlier conflict and leadership transition. Trader consensus reflects this established rhythm of infrequent posting, with the week’s near-completion reinforcing the <5 outcome. A sudden major address, diplomatic development, or escalation requiring direct commentary could increase volume before September 18, though no such catalyst has materialized in verified reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5未満 95.7%
5～9 <1%
50〜54 <1%
15〜19 <1%
$18,020 Vol.
$18,020 Vol.
2026/09/18
5未満
96%
5～9
1%
10〜14
<1%
15〜19
<1%
20〜24
<1%
25〜29
<1%
30〜34
<1%
35〜39
<1%
40～44
<1%
45～49
<1%
50〜54
<1%
55～59
<1%
60件以上
<1%
5未満 95.7%
5～9 <1%
50〜54 <1%
15〜19 <1%
$18,020 Vol.
$18,020 Vol.
2026/09/18
5未満
$5,518 Vol.
96%
5～9
$2,257 Vol.
1%
10〜14
$1,658 Vol.
<1%
15〜19
$1,312 Vol.
<1%
20〜24
$1,387 Vol.
<1%
25〜29
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
30〜34
$1,397 Vol.
<1%
35〜39
$719 Vol.
<1%
40～44
$509 Vol.
<1%
45～49
$571 Vol.
<1%
50〜54
$469 Vol.
<1%
55～59
$518 Vol.
<1%
60件以上
$497 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Official Khamenei-linked X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and @Khamenei_fa, have maintained minimal new output in recent weeks, relying primarily on archival quotes and limited regional commentary rather than fresh statements from Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. This pattern aligns with the current low-profile approach amid security concerns following earlier conflict and leadership transition. Trader consensus reflects this established rhythm of infrequent posting, with the week’s near-completion reinforcing the <5 outcome. A sudden major address, diplomatic development, or escalation requiring direct commentary could increase volume before September 18, though no such catalyst has materialized in verified reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$18,020終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Official Khamenei-linked X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and @Khamenei_fa, have maintained minimal new output in recent weeks, relying primarily on archival quotes and limited regional commentary rather than fresh statements from Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. This pattern aligns with the current low-profile approach amid security concerns following earlier conflict and leadership transition. Trader consensus reflects this established rhythm of infrequent posting, with the week’s near-completion reinforcing the <5 outcome. A sudden major address, diplomatic development, or escalation requiring direct commentary could increase volume before September 18, though no such catalyst has materialized in verified reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$18,020終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Official Khamenei-linked X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and @Khamenei_fa, have maintained minimal new output in recent weeks, relying primarily on archival quotes and limited regional commentary rather than fresh statements from Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. This pattern aligns with the current low-profile approach amid security concerns following earlier conflict and leadership transition. Trader consensus reflects this established rhythm of infrequent posting, with the week’s near-completion reinforcing the <5 outcome. A sudden major address, diplomatic development, or escalation requiring direct commentary could increase volume before September 18, though no such catalyst has materialized in verified reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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