**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a low public profile with infrequent direct X activity, relying instead on occasional written statements issued through official channels.** Following the 2026 conflict and his father's death, he has avoided public appearances for security reasons while continuing to exercise authority, as confirmed in recent statements by Iranian officials. This pattern of limited personal posting, amid ongoing regional tensions and a preference for formal messaging over frequent social media updates, underpins the strong trader consensus for fewer than five posts in the specified week. Historical activity shows sporadic releases tied to specific events rather than routine engagement. A major diplomatic development, escalation requiring rapid official responses, or verified health-related announcements could increase output and shift probabilities, though no such catalysts are currently evident in the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5未満 93%
5〜9 3.8%
10～14 2.0%
15～19 2.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
5未満
93%
5〜9
4%
10～14
2%
15～19
2%
20〜24
2%
25〜29
2%
30〜34
2%
35～39
2%
40〜44
1%
45〜49
1%
50〜54
1%
55〜59
1%
60件以上
1%
5未満 93%
5〜9 3.8%
10～14 2.0%
15～19 2.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
5未満
$675 Vol.
93%
5〜9
$5 Vol.
4%
10～14
$55 Vol.
2%
15～19
$55 Vol.
2%
20〜24
$55 Vol.
2%
25〜29
$55 Vol.
2%
30〜34
$55 Vol.
2%
35～39
$55 Vol.
2%
40〜44
$88 Vol.
1%
45〜49
$5 Vol.
1%
50〜54
$12 Vol.
1%
55〜59
$12 Vol.
1%
60件以上
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a low public profile with infrequent direct X activity, relying instead on occasional written statements issued through official channels.** Following the 2026 conflict and his father's death, he has avoided public appearances for security reasons while continuing to exercise authority, as confirmed in recent statements by Iranian officials. This pattern of limited personal posting, amid ongoing regional tensions and a preference for formal messaging over frequent social media updates, underpins the strong trader consensus for fewer than five posts in the specified week. Historical activity shows sporadic releases tied to specific events rather than routine engagement. A major diplomatic development, escalation requiring rapid official responses, or verified health-related announcements could increase output and shift probabilities, though no such catalysts are currently evident in the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$1,132終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a low public profile with infrequent direct X activity, relying instead on occasional written statements issued through official channels.** Following the 2026 conflict and his father's death, he has avoided public appearances for security reasons while continuing to exercise authority, as confirmed in recent statements by Iranian officials. This pattern of limited personal posting, amid ongoing regional tensions and a preference for formal messaging over frequent social media updates, underpins the strong trader consensus for fewer than five posts in the specified week. Historical activity shows sporadic releases tied to specific events rather than routine engagement. A major diplomatic development, escalation requiring rapid official responses, or verified health-related announcements could increase output and shift probabilities, though no such catalysts are currently evident in the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$1,132終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a low public profile with infrequent direct X activity, relying instead on occasional written statements issued through official channels.** Following the 2026 conflict and his father's death, he has avoided public appearances for security reasons while continuing to exercise authority, as confirmed in recent statements by Iranian officials. This pattern of limited personal posting, amid ongoing regional tensions and a preference for formal messaging over frequent social media updates, underpins the strong trader consensus for fewer than five posts in the specified week. Historical activity shows sporadic releases tied to specific events rather than routine engagement. A major diplomatic development, escalation requiring rapid official responses, or verified health-related announcements could increase output and shift probabilities, though no such catalysts are currently evident in the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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