Ralph Alvarado has consolidated overwhelming support in the Kentucky 6th Congressional District Republican primary through endorsements from President Trump and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, along with backing from multiple state legislative leaders. His background as a former state senator and Tennessee health commissioner has positioned him as the leading “America First” candidate in a race to replace retiring U.S. Rep. Andy Barr. The May 13 withdrawal and endorsement from rival Adam Perez Arquette further narrowed the field ahead of the May 19 primary. Traders reflect this consolidation in the current implied probabilities, which show Alvarado as the clear frontrunner. A late development such as an unforeseen scandal or unusually high turnout among remaining candidates’ supporters could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ラルフ・アルバラード 98.8%
グレッグ・プルチンスキ <1%
アダム・ペレス・アーケット <1%
ギャビン・ソロモン <1%
$25,183 Vol.
$25,183 Vol.
ラルフ・アルバラード
99%
グレッグ・プルチンスキ
1%
アダム・ペレス・アーケット
1%
ギャビン・ソロモン
<1%
ライアン・ドットソン
<1%
ラルフ・アルバラード 98.8%
グレッグ・プルチンスキ <1%
アダム・ペレス・アーケット <1%
ギャビン・ソロモン <1%
$25,183 Vol.
$25,183 Vol.
ラルフ・アルバラード
99%
グレッグ・プルチンスキ
1%
アダム・ペレス・アーケット
1%
ギャビン・ソロモン
<1%
ライアン・ドットソン
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ralph Alvarado has consolidated overwhelming support in the Kentucky 6th Congressional District Republican primary through endorsements from President Trump and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, along with backing from multiple state legislative leaders. His background as a former state senator and Tennessee health commissioner has positioned him as the leading “America First” candidate in a race to replace retiring U.S. Rep. Andy Barr. The May 13 withdrawal and endorsement from rival Adam Perez Arquette further narrowed the field ahead of the May 19 primary. Traders reflect this consolidation in the current implied probabilities, which show Alvarado as the clear frontrunner. A late development such as an unforeseen scandal or unusually high turnout among remaining candidates’ supporters could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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