Opposition parties Kuomintang (52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (8 seats) control only 60 of 113 seats in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, far short of the 85-vote three-fourths supermajority required to initiate President Lai Ching-te's impeachment for rebellion or treason under Article 100 of the Constitution. Recent review sessions on May 13–14 saw Lai and Democratic Progressive Party legislators absent, prompting opposition accusations of evading democratic oversight, with a final vote scheduled for May 19 ahead of the June 30 deadline. Trader consensus at 98% "No" reflects this insurmountable procedural barrier, though extraordinary DPP defections or an unprecedented Constitutional Court reinterpretation could theoretically shift dynamics despite no evidence of such momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$618,696 Vol.
$618,696 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$618,696 Vol.
$618,696 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties Kuomintang (52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (8 seats) control only 60 of 113 seats in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, far short of the 85-vote three-fourths supermajority required to initiate President Lai Ching-te's impeachment for rebellion or treason under Article 100 of the Constitution. Recent review sessions on May 13–14 saw Lai and Democratic Progressive Party legislators absent, prompting opposition accusations of evading democratic oversight, with a final vote scheduled for May 19 ahead of the June 30 deadline. Trader consensus at 98% "No" reflects this insurmountable procedural barrier, though extraordinary DPP defections or an unprecedented Constitutional Court reinterpretation could theoretically shift dynamics despite no evidence of such momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
音量
$618,696終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties Kuomintang (52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (8 seats) control only 60 of 113 seats in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, far short of the 85-vote three-fourths supermajority required to initiate President Lai Ching-te's impeachment for rebellion or treason under Article 100 of the Constitution. Recent review sessions on May 13–14 saw Lai and Democratic Progressive Party legislators absent, prompting opposition accusations of evading democratic oversight, with a final vote scheduled for May 19 ahead of the June 30 deadline. Trader consensus at 98% "No" reflects this insurmountable procedural barrier, though extraordinary DPP defections or an unprecedented Constitutional Court reinterpretation could theoretically shift dynamics despite no evidence of such momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$618,696終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Opposition parties Kuomintang (52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (8 seats) control only 60 of 113 seats in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, far short of the 85-vote three-fourths supermajority required to initiate President Lai Ching-te's impeachment for rebellion or treason under Article 100 of the Constitution. Recent review sessions on May 13–14 saw Lai and Democratic Progressive Party legislators absent, prompting opposition accusations of evading democratic oversight, with a final vote scheduled for May 19 ahead of the June 30 deadline. Trader consensus at 98% "No" reflects this insurmountable procedural barrier, though extraordinary DPP defections or an unprecedented Constitutional Court reinterpretation could theoretically shift dynamics despite no evidence of such momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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