Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in trader consensus ahead of Likud’s August 17 primaries, which will shape much of the party’s Knesset list for the October general election. Recent surveys of registered party members show Ohana topping internal rankings with roughly 73 percent support, well ahead of figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth, reflecting his visibility as Knesset speaker and strong backing within the activist base that determines primary outcomes. Netanyahu’s efforts to expand reserved slots and ongoing disputes over district placements have not altered this member-level preference. Lower-priced contenders including Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Miri Regev trail because they register weaker raw support in the same member surveys, while the small probabilities assigned to a canceled primary or other long-shot names track the confirmed schedule and limited recent movement in polling among eligible voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アミール・オハナ 74%
タリー・ゴットリブ 7.2%
ヤリブ・レヴィン 6.8%
エリ・コーヘン 5.3%
$56,304 Vol.
$56,304 Vol.
2026/10/26
アミール・オハナ
74%
タリー・ゴットリブ
7%
ヤリブ・レヴィン
7%
エリ・コーヘン
5%
クネセト選挙まで予備選なし
4%
モシェ・サアダ
2%
ボアズ・ビスマス
1%
イスラエル・カッツ
1%
シュロモ・カルヒ
1%
アルモグ・コーヘン
1%
ヨアヴ・キッシュ
1%
ダビッド・アムサレム
1%
ミキ・ゾハル
1%
アミハイ・チクリ
1%
ミリ・レゲブ
<1%
ニル・バルカット
<1%
ダビド・ビタン
<1%
アミール・オハナ 74%
タリー・ゴットリブ 7.2%
ヤリブ・レヴィン 6.8%
エリ・コーヘン 5.3%
$56,304 Vol.
$56,304 Vol.
2026/10/26
アミール・オハナ
$18,920 Vol.
74%
タリー・ゴットリブ
$9,731 Vol.
7%
ヤリブ・レヴィン
$3,778 Vol.
7%
エリ・コーヘン
$1,401 Vol.
5%
クネセト選挙まで予備選なし
$9,670 Vol.
4%
モシェ・サアダ
$842 Vol.
2%
ボアズ・ビスマス
$1,247 Vol.
1%
イスラエル・カッツ
$2,205 Vol.
1%
シュロモ・カルヒ
$976 Vol.
1%
アルモグ・コーヘン
$869 Vol.
1%
ヨアヴ・キッシュ
$801 Vol.
1%
ダビッド・アムサレム
$792 Vol.
1%
ミキ・ゾハル
$644 Vol.
1%
アミハイ・チクリ
$870 Vol.
1%
ミリ・レゲブ
$621 Vol.
<1%
ニル・バルカット
$2,140 Vol.
<1%
ダビド・ビタン
$800 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in trader consensus ahead of Likud’s August 17 primaries, which will shape much of the party’s Knesset list for the October general election. Recent surveys of registered party members show Ohana topping internal rankings with roughly 73 percent support, well ahead of figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth, reflecting his visibility as Knesset speaker and strong backing within the activist base that determines primary outcomes. Netanyahu’s efforts to expand reserved slots and ongoing disputes over district placements have not altered this member-level preference. Lower-priced contenders including Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Miri Regev trail because they register weaker raw support in the same member surveys, while the small probabilities assigned to a canceled primary or other long-shot names track the confirmed schedule and limited recent movement in polling among eligible voters.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
マーケット開始日： Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
音量
$56,304終了日
2026/10/26マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in trader consensus ahead of Likud’s August 17 primaries, which will shape much of the party’s Knesset list for the October general election. Recent surveys of registered party members show Ohana topping internal rankings with roughly 73 percent support, well ahead of figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth, reflecting his visibility as Knesset speaker and strong backing within the activist base that determines primary outcomes. Netanyahu’s efforts to expand reserved slots and ongoing disputes over district placements have not altered this member-level preference. Lower-priced contenders including Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Miri Regev trail because they register weaker raw support in the same member surveys, while the small probabilities assigned to a canceled primary or other long-shot names track the confirmed schedule and limited recent movement in polling among eligible voters.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
音量
$56,304終了日
2026/10/26マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in trader consensus ahead of Likud’s August 17 primaries, which will shape much of the party’s Knesset list for the October general election. Recent surveys of registered party members show Ohana topping internal rankings with roughly 73 percent support, well ahead of figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth, reflecting his visibility as Knesset speaker and strong backing within the activist base that determines primary outcomes. Netanyahu’s efforts to expand reserved slots and ongoing disputes over district placements have not altered this member-level preference. Lower-priced contenders including Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Miri Regev trail because they register weaker raw support in the same member surveys, while the small probabilities assigned to a canceled primary or other long-shot names track the confirmed schedule and limited recent movement in polling among eligible voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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