Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight readings holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity and light southwest winds. Sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and persistently warm soil profiles limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical summer regime, aligning trader consensus at 95% implied probability for a 28°C low. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 25–26°C, yet current synoptic stability and model consensus reduce odds of sharper drops. A sudden wind shift or localized heavy precipitation could introduce minor cooling, though official station data through evening indicate limited scope for deviation below the forecast threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の香港の最低気温は?
28°C 96.1%
27°C 1.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,017 Vol.
$19,017 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
96%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 96.1%
27°C 1.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,017 Vol.
$19,017 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
96%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a daily minimum of 28°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight readings holding near 28–29°C amid high humidity and light southwest winds. Sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and persistently warm soil profiles limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical summer regime, aligning trader consensus at 95% implied probability for a 28°C low. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 25–26°C, yet current synoptic stability and model consensus reduce odds of sharper drops. A sudden wind shift or localized heavy precipitation could introduce minor cooling, though official station data through evening indicate limited scope for deviation below the forecast threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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