**Forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple runs show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C (57–61°F), consistent with early autumn climatology for the region where typical September minima hover around 18°C but recent cooler air advection has lowered readings. With the trading day advanced and little model spread remaining, the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements. Only a sharper-than-expected clear-out or localized microclimate effect at the reporting site could realistically shift the recorded low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日の済南の最低気温は?
16℃ 99.0%
14℃ 9%
13℃ 7%
12℃以下 5%
$902 Vol.
$902 Vol.
12℃以下
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
はい
17℃
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃以上
いいえ
16℃ 99.0%
14℃ 9%
13℃ 7%
12℃以下 5%
$902 Vol.
$902 Vol.
12℃以下
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
はい
17℃
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃以上
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple runs show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C (57–61°F), consistent with early autumn climatology for the region where typical September minima hover around 18°C but recent cooler air advection has lowered readings. With the trading day advanced and little model spread remaining, the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements. Only a sharper-than-expected clear-out or localized microclimate effect at the reporting site could realistically shift the recorded low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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