**Dominant market consensus on an 18°C overnight low for London on August 13 stems from Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting a minimum near that threshold amid a persistent heatwave.** High pressure over southern England, combined with southerly flow advecting warm continental air and clear skies limiting radiative cooling, has elevated nighttime temperatures well above seasonal normals (typically 13–15°C). Official guidance shows London-area lows of 17–21°C, with London City Airport observations expected to resolve the market. Minor forecast revisions from late ensemble updates or localized urban heat island effects could shift outcomes slightly, but current conditions make deviations below 17°C or above 19°C highly improbable before final readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のロンドンの最低気温は?
18°C 99.4%
17°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$16,474 Vol.
$16,474 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
99%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
18°C 99.4%
17°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$16,474 Vol.
$16,474 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
99%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Dominant market consensus on an 18°C overnight low for London on August 13 stems from Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting a minimum near that threshold amid a persistent heatwave.** High pressure over southern England, combined with southerly flow advecting warm continental air and clear skies limiting radiative cooling, has elevated nighttime temperatures well above seasonal normals (typically 13–15°C). Official guidance shows London-area lows of 17–21°C, with London City Airport observations expected to resolve the market. Minor forecast revisions from late ensemble updates or localized urban heat island effects could shift outcomes slightly, but current conditions make deviations below 17°C or above 19°C highly improbable before final readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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