**Current short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and the National Weather Service indicate an overnight low in the lower to mid-60s°F for Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading 64-65°F outcome at 64.5% implied probability.** Typical early-September conditions feature a marine layer that moderates nighttime radiative cooling along the coast, producing average lows near 64.7°F historically. Recent model guidance shows partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 15 mph, supporting lows around 63-65°F at representative stations such as LAX or downtown, rather than sharper drops. The elevated odds on 72°F or higher (48.5%) and warmer brackets likely reflect trader awareness of variability between microclimates or potential model shifts, while probabilities on 60-61°F (47.5%) and 53°F or below (45.0%) capture the smaller chance of enhanced marine-layer cooling or measurement differences. No major heat wave or strong offshore flow is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution centered on the mid-60s. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while pricing in residual uncertainty ahead of any tropical moisture influences later in the Labor Day period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のロサンゼルスの最低気温は？
9月2日のロサンゼルスの最低気温は？
56〜57°F 97%
66～67°F 95%
58～59°F 94%
60～61°F 93%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
53°F以下
80%
54〜55°F
73%
56〜57°F
97%
58～59°F
94%
60～61°F
93%
62～63°F
38%
64～65°F
64%
66～67°F
95%
68〜69°F
73%
70～71°F
74%
華氏72度以上
93%
56〜57°F 97%
66～67°F 95%
58～59°F 94%
60～61°F 93%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
53°F以下
$5 Vol.
80%
54〜55°F
$5 Vol.
73%
56〜57°F
$15 Vol.
97%
58～59°F
$0 Vol.
94%
60～61°F
$0 Vol.
93%
62～63°F
$0 Vol.
38%
64～65°F
$2 Vol.
64%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
95%
68〜69°F
$0 Vol.
73%
70～71°F
$5 Vol.
74%
華氏72度以上
$5 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and the National Weather Service indicate an overnight low in the lower to mid-60s°F for Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading 64-65°F outcome at 64.5% implied probability.**
Typical early-September conditions feature a marine layer that moderates nighttime radiative cooling along the coast, producing average lows near 64.7°F historically. Recent model guidance shows partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 15 mph, supporting lows around 63-65°F at representative stations such as LAX or downtown, rather than sharper drops.
The elevated odds on 72°F or higher (48.5%) and warmer brackets likely reflect trader awareness of variability between microclimates or potential model shifts, while probabilities on 60-61°F (47.5%) and 53°F or below (45.0%) capture the smaller chance of enhanced marine-layer cooling or measurement differences. No major heat wave or strong offshore flow is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution centered on the mid-60s.
Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while pricing in residual uncertainty ahead of any tropical moisture influences later in the Labor Day period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
音量
$37終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and the National Weather Service indicate an overnight low in the lower to mid-60s°F for Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading 64-65°F outcome at 64.5% implied probability.**
Typical early-September conditions feature a marine layer that moderates nighttime radiative cooling along the coast, producing average lows near 64.7°F historically. Recent model guidance shows partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 15 mph, supporting lows around 63-65°F at representative stations such as LAX or downtown, rather than sharper drops.
The elevated odds on 72°F or higher (48.5%) and warmer brackets likely reflect trader awareness of variability between microclimates or potential model shifts, while probabilities on 60-61°F (47.5%) and 53°F or below (45.0%) capture the smaller chance of enhanced marine-layer cooling or measurement differences. No major heat wave or strong offshore flow is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution centered on the mid-60s.
Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while pricing in residual uncertainty ahead of any tropical moisture influences later in the Labor Day period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$37終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET**Current short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and the National Weather Service indicate an overnight low in the lower to mid-60s°F for Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading 64-65°F outcome at 64.5% implied probability.** Typical early-September conditions feature a marine layer that moderates nighttime radiative cooling along the coast, producing average lows near 64.7°F historically. Recent model guidance shows partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 15 mph, supporting lows around 63-65°F at representative stations such as LAX or downtown, rather than sharper drops. The elevated odds on 72°F or higher (48.5%) and warmer brackets likely reflect trader awareness of variability between microclimates or potential model shifts, while probabilities on 60-61°F (47.5%) and 53°F or below (45.0%) capture the smaller chance of enhanced marine-layer cooling or measurement differences. No major heat wave or strong offshore flow is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution centered on the mid-60s. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while pricing in residual uncertainty ahead of any tropical moisture influences later in the Labor Day period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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