Recent National Meteorological Agency and European model guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies bringing Madrid's minimum temperature on August 26 into the mid-teens Celsius. Late-summer climatology favors this range as high pressure promotes calm conditions and efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 28–29 °C. Small differences in forecast low—14 °C versus 16–17 °C—hinge on subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind speed, and any residual Atlantic flow that could limit cooling. With outcomes clustered tightly, traders are weighing the latest deterministic and ensemble runs from AEMET and ECMWF, which show modest spread around the 15–16 °C mark ahead of the final model updates before the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のマドリードの最低気温は？
8月26日のマドリードの最低気温は？
14°C or below 69%
24°C or higher 53%
15°C 45%
19°C 45%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
14°C or below
69%
15°C
45%
16°C
29%
17°C
31%
18°C
26%
19°C
45%
20°C
2%
21°C
35%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C or higher
53%
14°C or below 69%
24°C or higher 53%
15°C 45%
19°C 45%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
35%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Agency and European model guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies bringing Madrid's minimum temperature on August 26 into the mid-teens Celsius. Late-summer climatology favors this range as high pressure promotes calm conditions and efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 28–29 °C. Small differences in forecast low—14 °C versus 16–17 °C—hinge on subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind speed, and any residual Atlantic flow that could limit cooling. With outcomes clustered tightly, traders are weighing the latest deterministic and ensemble runs from AEMET and ECMWF, which show modest spread around the 15–16 °C mark ahead of the final model updates before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Agency and European model guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies bringing Madrid's minimum temperature on August 26 into the mid-teens Celsius. Late-summer climatology favors this range as high pressure promotes calm conditions and efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 28–29 °C. Small differences in forecast low—14 °C versus 16–17 °C—hinge on subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind speed, and any residual Atlantic flow that could limit cooling. With outcomes clustered tightly, traders are weighing the latest deterministic and ensemble runs from AEMET and ECMWF, which show modest spread around the 15–16 °C mark ahead of the final model updates before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent National Meteorological Agency and European model guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies bringing Madrid's minimum temperature on August 26 into the mid-teens Celsius. Late-summer climatology favors this range as high pressure promotes calm conditions and efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 28–29 °C. Small differences in forecast low—14 °C versus 16–17 °C—hinge on subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind speed, and any residual Atlantic flow that could limit cooling. With outcomes clustered tightly, traders are weighing the latest deterministic and ensemble runs from AEMET and ECMWF, which show modest spread around the 15–16 °C mark ahead of the final model updates before the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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