**Current forecasts from multiple models (GFS, ECMWF, and others) indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Milan on September 3, 2026, driven by a stable high-pressure system with clear skies, light winds, and a warm air mass yielding daytime highs of 30–33°C.** This produces a typical early-September diurnal range of 10–12°C under radiative cooling at night. Recent model runs show consistency in this warm pattern, with limited spread that keeps the lowest temperature well above historical averages (~17°C). Trader sentiment reflects this through elevated odds on 23°C or higher (34.5%), balanced against cooler tails possibly tied to model uncertainty or localized cooling effects, while mid-range outcomes (17–19°C) capture residual variance in ensemble guidance ahead of final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のミラノの最低気温は?
23°C or higher 89%
13°C or below 81%
14°C 49%
21°C 49%
13°C or below
81%
14°C
49%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
30%
19°C
28%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
89%
23°C or higher 89%
13°C or below 81%
14°C 49%
21°C 49%
13°C or below
81%
14°C
49%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
30%
19°C
28%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from multiple models (GFS, ECMWF, and others) indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Milan on September 3, 2026, driven by a stable high-pressure system with clear skies, light winds, and a warm air mass yielding daytime highs of 30–33°C.** This produces a typical early-September diurnal range of 10–12°C under radiative cooling at night. Recent model runs show consistency in this warm pattern, with limited spread that keeps the lowest temperature well above historical averages (~17°C). Trader sentiment reflects this through elevated odds on 23°C or higher (34.5%), balanced against cooler tails possibly tied to model uncertainty or localized cooling effects, while mid-range outcomes (17–19°C) capture residual variance in ensemble guidance ahead of final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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