Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely fall between 12–15 °C under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover, with light rain possible overnight that limits radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 11 °C, but current pressure patterns and dew points support milder conditions unless clearer skies develop. The near-even market split between sub-5 °C and 15 °C+ outcomes reflects model disagreement on overnight cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, while intermediate bins around 10–13 °C capture the central tendency of ensemble guidance. Traders are watching the next high-resolution runs for any shift in the 00–06 UTC window when the daily minimum typically occurs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のモスクワの最低気温は?
5°C or below 90%
15°C or higher 88%
6°C 50%
14°C 35%
5°C or below
90%
6°C
50%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
35%
15°C or higher
88%
5°C or below 90%
15°C or higher 88%
6°C 50%
14°C 35%
5°C or below
90%
6°C
50%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
35%
15°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely fall between 12–15 °C under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover, with light rain possible overnight that limits radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 11 °C, but current pressure patterns and dew points support milder conditions unless clearer skies develop. The near-even market split between sub-5 °C and 15 °C+ outcomes reflects model disagreement on overnight cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, while intermediate bins around 10–13 °C capture the central tendency of ensemble guidance. Traders are watching the next high-resolution runs for any shift in the 00–06 UTC window when the daily minimum typically occurs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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